Elon Musk Is Weighing The Sun’s Power For AI, While Crypto Bettors Weigh How Many SpaceX Starships Will Succeed In 2026 — Here Are The Odds

Elon Musk reiterated on Tuesday the importance of solar energy for the future, while cryptocurrency punters bet on how many Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ:SPCX) Starship launches would successfully land in space.

Polymarket Wagers On Space Exploration

Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based Polymarket assigned a 40% chance that fewer than five launches will succeed in 2026, down from 56% a week earlier.

There was a 28% chance of 5–6 successful launches, and a 14% chance of 7–8 succeeding.

Over $470,000 has already been wagered on the outcome. The launch counts as successful if Starship lifts off and climbs at least 62 miles above sea level between Jan. 1 and Dec. 31.

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