Will Donald Trump Help Broker A Peace Deal In Ukraine? Don’t Be So Sure, Polymarket Trader Say
Posted On February 12, 2025
Despite Donald Trump‘s claims of a productive call with Russian President Vladimir Putin and his assertion he could end the Ukraine war “quickly,” betting markets indicate skepticism about his ability to achieve a resolution within his first 90 days in office.
What Happened: Polymarket, a prediction market platform, shows a low probability of Trump ending the conflict in that timeframe.
The probability of Trump ending the war in that timeframe has risen to 34%, up 11% from prior levels.
Meanwhile, another market assessing the likelihood of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before July sits at 57%, reflecting a moderate expectation of diplomatic progress.
Trump, in a post on his social …
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