Donald Trump Says US Is ‘Successfully Negotiating With Russia’ Over Ukraine, But Polymarket Traders Aren’t Convinced

President Donald Trump has launched a sharp critique of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy‘s leadership, claiming the Ukrainian leader “played (former U.S. president Joe) Biden like a fiddle,” prompting increasing speculation on prediction markets about Zelenskyy’s political future.

What Happened: According to Polymarket trading data, there’s a 23% probability that Zelenskyy could leave office before July 2025, while separate market predictions indicate a 29% chance that Trump could end the Ukraine war within his first 90 days if elected president.

In a strongly-worded Truth Social post, Trump criticized U.S. spending on the Ukraine conflict, stating that “the United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars …

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