Donald Trump’s Election Odds Surge To 64% On Polymarket, 60% On Kalshi And Favorite In All Swing States

With just 14 days until the presidential election, former President Donald Trump’s winning probability has surged to at least 60% on major prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi.

What Happened: Polymarket data shows Trump with a 63.3% chance of winning compared to Vice President Kamala Harris’s 36.8%, marking a 26.5 percentage point difference. This is a notable jump from Trump’s previous 61.3% to Harris’s 38.6% on Monday.

Trump’s odds reportedly surged after he made headlines for working a shift at McDonald’s in Pennsylvania, a key battleground state where he currently holds a 62% win probability on Polymarket and 59% on Kalshi.