Recession In 2025? Crypto Bettors Now See Over 50% Probability After Trump’s Sweeping Tariff Rollout (CORRECTED)
Posted On April 4, 2025
Editor’s Note: A typographical error in the headline of this story has been corrected.
Cryptocurrency bettors sharply upped the odds of a U.S. recession Thursday following President Donald Trump’s worse-than-expected “Liberation Day” tariff rollout.
What happened: The odds in favor of the betting contract titled “US recession in 2025?” shot up from 46% to 54% in the last 24 hours on Polymarket. A week ago, the likelihood of this happening was 38%.
Over $1 million has already been wagered on the outcome on the Polygon (CRYPTO: POL)-based prediction platform. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the National Bureau of Economic Research declares a recession in the U.S. before January …
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