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Monero Bull Run Accelerating, XMR-BTC Price Chart Signals

This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

Leading privacy-focused cryptocurrency monero (XMR) has outperformed bitcoin BTC this year, and the trend is likely to continue in the coming weeks.

That’s the message from the XMR-BTC ratio trading on Poloniex. The ratio representing XMR’s bitcoin-denominated price recently rose to the highest since January 2024, confirming a “double-bottom” breakout on the weekly time frame.

The double bottom comprises two consecutive peaks with lows at about the same price, representing an exhaustion of the preceding downtrend. It also includes a horizontal line, called the neckline resistance, drawn connecting the temporary recovery between the two troughs.

A move past the neckline is said to confirm the breakout or a bearish-bullish shift in the market trend.

XMR/BTC's weekly price chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The ratio carved out two troughs at around 0.00165 early this year and recently broke above the neckline resistance, indicating a double-bottom bullish reversal.

In other words, XMR has likely begun a new bull run relative to bitcoin. The pair’s move above the Ichimoku cloud also suggests the same. The bullish outlook risks invalidation in case of a renewed dip below the double top support (former resistance).

Monero has surged 86% this year, outperforming Bitcoin’s 12% rise by a significant margin, according to CoinDesk data.