Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Dead, Researcher Says: Here’s Why It Matters For XRP
Posted On July 17, 2025
The crypto market has changed, and experts say relying on the traditional 4-year halving cycle could leave investors poorly positioned in this new environment.
Pseudonymous crypto researcher Viktor argued in an essay on Substack that the long-believed 4-year cycle, popularized by Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) halving schedule and past altcoin seasons, is now outdated.
Many traders anticipated a 2021-style altcoin boom in early 2025, but instead, they’ve been met with a sustained decline in altcoin/BTC ratios.
He explains that macroeconomic conditions now drive crypto more than ever.
Instead of neat, predictable cycles, the market moves in response to broader risk-on or risk-off sentiment, often tied to the …
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