Polymarket Says $95,000 Is More Likely Than $130,000 — But This Bitcoin Trendline Disagrees
Posted On October 16, 2025
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is stuck near $111,000 as prediction markets see a slide toward $95,000 as possible, even while technical charts still flash room for a rebound toward $130,000.
Polymarket Traders Bet on Bitcoin’s $95,000 Fall Over $130,000 Breakout
Data from Polymarket shows that traders now give Bitcoin a 13% chance of reaching $95,000 this month, compared with only 10% odds of hitting $130,000.
The shift reflects a cooling outlook after several weeks of volatility that tested investor conviction.
The change in sentiment follows a series of failed attempts to hold above $115,000.
Market participants appear to be hedging for lower levels even as the broader uptrend remains intact.