Trump’s Venezuela Strike Raises Odds Of A Broader War With Iran In Crypto Betting Market
Posted On January 5, 2026
The cryptocurrency crowd raised the odds of a U.S. military strike on Iran in the wake of the successful operation in Venezuela.
Are Investors Betting On A US War With Iran?
The probability that the U.S. will strike Iran by Jan. 31 rose from 10% to 18% in the last 24 hours on Polymarket.
Similarly, the odds that such a military action happens by the end of March increased to 28% from 21% the day before. The likelihood of a strike by June 30 has risen to 35%, the highest of all outcomes currently.
Nearly $700,000 has been wagered on the outcome. The market resolves to “Yes” if the U.S. initiates a …
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