Tom Lee Says Bitcoin Will Break From Its Four-Year Cycle In 2026 If It Hits $200,000-$250,000: ‘There Are Tailwinds That Are Building’
Posted On January 6, 2026
Wall Street analyst Tom Lee said Monday that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could deviate from its typical four-year cycle if it reaches between $200,000 and $250,000 this year.
Will Bitcoin Break Its Four-Year Cycle?
Speaking to CNBC, Lee said that if Bitcoin follows the four-year cycle, its price should decline in 2026. However, a sharp rally instead would break that historical pattern.
“I think that there are tailwinds that are building,” the Fundstrat co-founder said, pointing out the leverage reset during the October 2025 crash.
He also mentioned continued institutional adoption and U.S. government support as contributing factors.
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