Iran’s Ayatollah Regime Faces Collapse In 2026? Crypto Punters Boost Odds As Unrest Boils, Trump Issues Warning
Posted On January 8, 2026
Prediction markets have substantially raised the odds of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei losing power this year as the Iranian regime battles a deepening economic crisis and civic unrest.
Over $1 Million Bet On Regime Change
The odds that Iran’s Supreme Leader is removed from power by the first half of the year rose to 36% on Polymarket, up from 28% the day before and 21% a week ago.
The probability of Khamenei losing power by March 31 has risen to 25%, whereas bettors see only a 12% chance of it occurring by the end of the month.
Over $1 million has been wagered on the outcome. The market resolves to “Yes” if Khamenei resigns, …
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