Government Shutdown Odds Fall On Polymarket, Kalshi After Trump Says Republicans, Democrats ‘Have Come Together’
Posted On January 30, 2026
Cryptocurrency punters sharply lowered the odds of the federal government shutdown on Saturday after President Donald Trump announced a bipartisan deal between Republicans and Democrats.
Traders Shift Shutdown Bets
Polymarket traders priced in a 59% chance of a government shutdown, down from 72% the day before.
More than $27 million has been wagered on the outcome, making it one of the platform’s most traded bets as of this writing. The market will resolve to “Yes” if the Office of Personnel Management announces a federal government shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by Jan. 31.
Polymarket, based on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), allows users to wager on an outcome using the USDC (CRYPTO: USDC) stablecoin.
Similarly, bettors on Kalshi predicted a 59% chance of a …
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