Will Bitcoin Take 350 Days To Bottom? Here’s What The Data Says
Posted On February 17, 2026
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has dropped roughly 29% over the past month, prompting debate over whether the bear phase is nearing its end, or if more downside is ahead.
Historical Cycles: 365 Days To Bottom?
Trader Altcoin Sherpa examined prior Bitcoin cycles for context.
In the 2017–2018 cycle there was a 75–85% drawdown, around 365 days from all-time high to final bottom. Meanwhile, the 2021–2022 cycle had a similar magnitude decline, with a similar almost 1 year to bottom.
Both cycles ended with a major capitulation event (e.g., the 2018 $6,000→$3,000 collapse and the FTX-driven crash in 2022), followed by 2–4 months of accumulation.
However, Sherpa notes the 2024–2025 bull run was slower and more consolidation-heavy compared to the vertical expansions of earlier cycles, which could …
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