Iran Invasion Odds Surge Past 70% On Crypto Prediction Market, While Truce Chances Slide Sharply — What Happens Next?
Posted On March 30, 2026
Cryptocurrency punters ramped up expectations of a U.S. ground invasion of Iran, while lowering the likelihood of a diplomatic truce between the two nations.
Crypto Prediction Market Heats Up
Polymarket, built on Polygon (CRYPTO: POL), assigned a 70% probability to U.S. ground troops entering Iran by the end of April, up from 57% just a week ago. The odds of a ground invasion before year-end have risen from 72% to 77% in the same time.
The market remains one of Polymarket’s top draws, attracting $51.34 million in wagers so far. U.S. military personnel …
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