Trump’s Speech Skipped ‘Ceasefire’ And ‘Peace’, Leaving Polymarket Traders Who Bet Against These Words Profiting Big Time
Posted On April 2, 2026
The word-mention prediction market was buzzing before President Donald Trump‘s much-anticipated televised address, and bettors scored big based on which terms he used and which he avoided.
The Winners And Losers
After Trump’s repeated hints that the military campaign against Iran was nearing an end, many expected a de-escalatory address. Over $100,000 was wagered on the word “Ceasefire/Peace Deal” on Polymarket.
Far from it, Trump said that the war will continue until the “objectives are fully achieved” and threatened to strike Iran big if a deal is not made sooner.
Both “ceasefire” and “peace” were notably absent from his address. One user, Dragontree, who purchased 9,741 “No” shares when the odds were 35%, …
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