{"id":12771,"date":"2025-02-12T19:46:33","date_gmt":"2025-02-12T19:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=12771"},"modified":"2025-02-12T19:46:33","modified_gmt":"2025-02-12T19:46:33","slug":"will-donald-trump-help-broker-a-peace-deal-in-ukraine-dont-be-so-sure-polymarket-trader-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=12771","title":{"rendered":"Will Donald Trump Help Broker A Peace Deal In Ukraine? Don&#8217;t Be So Sure, Polymarket Trader Say"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Despite <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong>\u2018s claims of a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/government\/regulations\/25\/02\/43639754\/ukraine-floats-land-swap-with-russia-as-trump-signals-peace-push\">productive call with Russian President<\/a> <strong>Vladimir Putin<\/strong> and his assertion he could end the Ukraine war \u201cquickly,\u201d betting markets indicate skepticism about his ability to achieve a resolution within his first 90 days in office.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What Happened: Polymarket<\/strong>, a prediction market platform, shows a low probability of Trump ending the conflict in that timeframe.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days\/trump-wins-ends-ukraine-war-in-90-days?tid=1739383148959\">probability<\/a> of Trump ending the war in that timeframe has risen to 34%, up 11% from prior levels.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, another market <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-july\/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-before-july?tid=1739383422747\">assessing<\/a> the likelihood of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before July sits at 57%, reflecting a moderate expectation of diplomatic progress.<\/p>\n<p>Trump, in a <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/elonmusk\/status\/1889722028120285217\">post<\/a> on his social &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/cryptocurrency\/25\/02\/43671255\/will-donald-trump-help-broker-a-peace-deal-in-ukraine-dont-be-so-sure-polymarket-trader-sa\" alt=\"Will\" donald trump help broker a peace deal in ukraine don be so sure polymarket trader say>Full story available on Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite Donald Trump\u2018s claims of a productive call with Russian President Vladimir Putin and his assertion he could end the Ukraine war \u201cquickly,\u201d betting markets indicate skepticism about his ability to achieve a resolution within his first 90 days in office. What Happened: Polymarket, a prediction market platform, shows a low probability of Trump ending [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-12771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12771\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}