{"id":1569,"date":"2024-10-23T20:31:50","date_gmt":"2024-10-23T20:31:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=1569"},"modified":"2024-10-23T20:31:50","modified_gmt":"2024-10-23T20:31:50","slug":"nate-silvers-gut-says-trump-will-win-but-kamala-harris-could-beat-her-polls-one-trader-bets-over-3-million-she-does","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=1569","title":{"rendered":"Nate Silver&#8217;s &#8216;Gut&#8217; Says Trump Will Win, But Kamala Harris &#8216;Could Beat Her Polls&#8217;: One Trader Bets Over $3 Million She Does"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Former FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief <strong>Nate Silver<\/strong> offered two contrasting interpretations of the presidential race, suggesting that both Vice President<strong> Kamala Harris<\/strong> and former President <strong>Donald Trump <\/strong>could outperform their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/24\/10\/41450118\/harris-vs-trump-vice-president-edges-out-rival-in-latest-poll-but-voters-favor-ex-presidents-stance\">current poll numbers.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>What Happened<\/strong>: Silver <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/23\/opinion\/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html\">wrote<\/a> in an opinion piece in the<strong> <\/strong>New York Times on Wednesday that his \u201cgut\u201d says Donald Trump will emerge victorious, but he cautioned that anxious Democrats should not value his intuition.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/why-harris-could-beat-her-polls\">blog post<\/a> titled \u201cWhy Harris could beat her polls,\u201d Silver later elaborated that even a typical polling error of around 3 points could lead to one candidate sweeping all seven key battleground states. According to Silver\u2019s simulations, \u201cthe most common outcome was Trump winning all 7 swing states: this happened 24 percent of the time. And the next most common was a Harris sweep, which occurred in 15 percent of simulations.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Silver dismissed the \u201cshy Trump voter\u201d &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/markets\/cryptocurrency\/24\/10\/41501090\/nate-silvers-gut-says-trump-will-win-but-kamala-harris-could-beat-her-polls-one-trader-bet\" alt=\"Nate\" silver says trump will win but kamala harris beat her polls one trader bets over million she does>Full story available on Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver offered two contrasting interpretations of the presidential race, suggesting that both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump could outperform their current poll numbers. What Happened: Silver wrote in an opinion piece in the New York Times on Wednesday that his \u201cgut\u201d says Donald Trump will emerge victorious, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-1569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1569","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1569"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1569\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1569"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1569"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1569"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}