{"id":17430,"date":"2025-03-12T15:02:12","date_gmt":"2025-03-12T15:02:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=17430"},"modified":"2025-03-12T15:02:12","modified_gmt":"2025-03-12T15:02:12","slug":"u-s-treasury-market-most-volatile-in-4-months-may-slow-any-bitcoin-price-recovery-after-cpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=17430","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Treasury Market Most Volatile in 4 Months May Slow Any Bitcoin Price Recovery After CPI"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>The U.S. Treasury market is experiencing its highest volatility in four months, potentially jeopardizing an expected bitcoin (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/price\/bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\">BTC<\/a>) price recovery.<\/p>\n<p>U.S. inflation data for February <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2025\/03\/11\/inflation-relief-u-s-cpi-rose-less-than-forecast-in-february\" target=\"_blank\">came in softer-than-expected<\/a>, strengthening the case for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. The reading encouraged some analysts to forecast a bitcoin price recovery to $90,000 and higher. It&#8217;s currently around $82,000.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;With inflation cooling and recession fears still looming but not worsening, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major breakout, pushing past the stubborn sub-$90K range,&#8221; Matt Mena, Crypto Research Strategist at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/urldefense.com\/v3\/__https:\/\/www.21shares.com\/en-us__;!!PKfFmjksEw!xIT1-T5tl_193ERWSY2FiYS1mlmW8LBNe_6GoYeyozvASiVM3OUh_Z5bN9RkTSMC9tOgm4wD7YsWxGjt%24\" target=\"_blank\">21Shares<\/a>, said in an email.<\/p>\n<p>Any upswing, however, could unfold slower than expected as the Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE), which measures the expected 30-day volatility in the U.S. Treasuries market, has risen to 115, the highest since Nov. 6, according to data source TradingView. It has jumped 38% in three weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Increased volatility in the U.S. Treasury notes, which dominate global collateral, securities and finance, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coindesk.com\/markets\/2023\/02\/22\/bitcoin-volatility-index-holds-steady-as-vix-and-move-spike\" target=\"_blank\">negatively impacts<\/a> leverage and liquidity in financial markets. That often leads to reduced risk-taking in financial markets.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.sanity.io\/images\/s3y3vcno\/production\/711e7bc6877f3356fe042ab142c115325c792779-2352x1028.png?auto=format\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n<p>The MOVE index collapsed following the Nov. 4 election, easing financial conditions that likely aided BTC&#8217;s surge to as high as $108,000 from $70,000. <\/p>\n<p>The cryptocurrency&#8217;s rally peaked in December-January as the MOVE bottomed out. <\/p>\n<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. Treasury market is experiencing its highest volatility in four months, potentially jeopardizing an expected bitcoin (BTC) price recovery. U.S. inflation data for February came in softer-than-expected, strengthening the case for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts. The reading encouraged some analysts to forecast a bitcoin price recovery to $90,000 and higher. It&#8217;s currently around $82,000. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-17430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}