{"id":26129,"date":"2025-05-10T13:01:37","date_gmt":"2025-05-10T13:01:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=26129"},"modified":"2025-05-10T13:01:37","modified_gmt":"2025-05-10T13:01:37","slug":"bitcoin-set-to-soar-top-analyst-ties-btc-surge-to-global-money-supply-boom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=26129","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Set To Soar? Top Analyst Ties BTC Surge To Global Money Supply Boom"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Bitcoin broke through the $100,000 level this week, reaching $104,000 before moderating to about $103,000. The move came after news that US and Chinese officials would sit down in Switzerland to talk about a possible trade agreement. Markets responded promptly. Optimism returned, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/en\/coins\/bitcoin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Bitcoin<\/a> rose accordingly. But analysts are seeing beyond the headlines. Global liquidity is the real story.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Global M2 Reaches $111 Trillion<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Julien Bittel, a macro researcher at Global Macro Investor, is of the opinion that global M2 money supply is a good leading indicator of where Bitcoin is going. He presented a chart illustrating a 12-week lag between increasing M2 and the price of the top crypto. Briefly put, when M2 increases, Bitcoin follows around three months later.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">Lots of you have been asking for the updated Global M2 vs. Bitcoin chart. Well, here it is\u2026<\/p>\n<p>And yes \u2013 it still tells the same story:<\/p>\n<p>We\u2019re going higher\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/kv7QSE9iGN\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/kv7QSE9iGN<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Julien Bittel, CFA (@BittelJulien) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BittelJulien\/status\/1920789668964049019?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">May 9, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Between early 2023 and early 2024, global M2 increased from $98 trillion to slightly over $108 trillion. Bitcoin came along, finally breaking above $100,000. But mid-2024, M2 ceased its ascension for a period.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-471525\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?resize=1024%2C567\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"567\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=1516 1516w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_69aefa.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin also tapered off, falling below $80,000 during that period. Bittel referred to that range as a consolidation phase. Today, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.macromicro.me\/charts\/3439\/major-bank-m2-comparsion\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">M2<\/a> is moving once again\u2014quickly. It\u2019s passed $111 trillion. If that trend continues, BTC could keep rising into mid-2025.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\nBittel said, \u201cWe\u2019re going higher,\u201d pointing to the strong rise in global M2 as the signal.\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/qpXph6aY\/\" width=\"1835\" height=\"883\"><\/p>\n<h2><strong>Others Think Bitcoin Is The Top Dog<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Not everyone agrees with Bittel\u2019s timeline. Analyst Benjamin Cohen raised doubts about the idea that the crypto asset always lags behind liquidity changes. He pointed out that Bitcoin hit its highs in 2017 and 2021 before M2 peaked. That doesn\u2019t fit the theory of M2 leading BTC by 12 weeks.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-471594\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?resize=1024%2C486\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"486\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=1062 1062w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=130 130w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=104 104w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=83 83w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/a_b65046.png?w=750 750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"><\/p>\n<p>Cohen provided an alternative perspective. He believes Bitcoin could very well lead, with changes to M2 appearing later. If that\u2019s the case, then the coin\u2019s recent ascent is perhaps forewarning us that global liquidity could decrease in the coming months.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">What if <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#Bitcoin<\/a> leads liquidity, rather than lags it?<\/p>\n<p>A lot of people show this chart, where they offset global M2 by 3-4 months and show BTC following it.<\/p>\n<p>The problem is that in 2021, this offset shows M2 going up for 6 months after BTC topped. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gpkbW9jboG\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/gpkbW9jboG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intocryptoverse\/status\/1920560445712159145?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">May 8, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><strong>FTX Collapse Still Echoes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Cohen also referenced what occurred in 2022, when Bitcoin fell hard. That drop coincided with M2 bottoming out\u2014but the drop persisted longer due to the FTX debacle. He maintained that Bitcoin\u2019s price movements do not always adhere to the same timeline as M2. Exchange failures like the one experienced can disrupt the rhythm.<\/p>\n<p>This perspective uncovers another type of forecast. If BTC is trailing, rather than leading, then the current rally may indicate danger on the horizon\u2014not resilience.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin broke through the $100,000 level this week, reaching $104,000 before moderating to about $103,000. The move came after news that US and Chinese officials would sit down in Switzerland to talk about a possible trade agreement. Markets responded promptly. Optimism returned, and Bitcoin rose accordingly. But analysts are seeing beyond the headlines. Global liquidity [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-26129","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26129","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26129"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26129\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26129"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26129"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26129"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}