{"id":32216,"date":"2025-06-17T09:17:13","date_gmt":"2025-06-17T09:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=32216"},"modified":"2025-06-17T09:17:13","modified_gmt":"2025-06-17T09:17:13","slug":"polymarket-odds-on-u-s-military-action-against-iran-slide-as-trump-team-proposes-tehran-talks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=32216","title":{"rendered":"Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Traders on decentralized betting platform Polymarket have scaled back expectations for U.S. military action against Iran amid reports that President Donald Trump&#8217;s team is looking to mend fences.<\/p>\n<p>As of writing, probability that U.S. will strike Iran by June 30 stood at 46%, down sharply from the overnight high of 66.9%, according to trading in the Polymarket-listed contract &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/us-military-action-against-iran-before-july\">U.S. military action against Iran before July<\/a>.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>The decline follows a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aa.com.tr\/en\/americas\/trump-team-proposes-iran-talks-this-week-on-nuclear-deal-ceasefire-axios\/3601170\">report from Axios<\/a> that the U.S. is mulling a meeting this week between U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The meeting will be aimed at exploring a diplomatic initiative involving a nuclear deal and an end of the Israel-Iran conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Yet one Polymarket <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/us-military-action-against-iran-before-july\">user said<\/a> that &#8220;Trump should join the fray: his troops need the experience in postpostmodern warfare,&#8221; calling for a military action against Iran.<\/p>\n<p>On Friday, Israel launched coordinated airstrikes and drone attacks on multiple sites across on Iranian military and nuclear facilities, leading to retaliatory action by Tehran.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin initially fell in a knee-jerk reaction to $102,750 alongside risk aversion in traditional markets, characterized by an uptick in the anti-risk Japanese yen and weakness in the U.S. stocks.<\/p>\n<p>BTC, however, has stabilized since then, with prices recovering to trade at $106,700 at press time. However, futures tied to the S&amp;P 500 traded 0.7% lower.<\/p>\n<p>Note that the Trump administration is yet to official comment on the Axios report. In a late Monday post on Truth Social, Trump reiterated that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, calling for immediate evacuation of Tehran.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Traders on decentralized betting platform Polymarket have scaled back expectations for U.S. military action against Iran amid reports that President Donald Trump&#8217;s team is looking to mend fences. As of writing, probability that U.S. will strike Iran by June 30 stood at 46%, down sharply from the overnight high of 66.9%, according to trading in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-32216","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32216","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=32216"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32216\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=32216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=32216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=32216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}