{"id":33316,"date":"2025-06-24T04:46:33","date_gmt":"2025-06-24T04:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=33316"},"modified":"2025-06-24T04:46:33","modified_gmt":"2025-06-24T04:46:33","slug":"bitcoin-weathers-the-iran-israel-storm-better-than-wall-streets-best-analyst","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=33316","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Weathers The Iran-Israel Storm Better Than Wall Street\u2019s Best\u2014Analyst"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Bitcoin stayed surprisingly steady this week as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/iran-weighs-retaliation-against-us-strikes-nuclear-sites-2025-06-23\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">global conflicts <\/a>flared. According to Andr\u00e9 Dragosch, Head of Research at Bitwise Europe, the coin\u2019s recent swings have quieted down.<\/p>\n<p>Investors saw less shake and rattle even after a 7% dip over the weekend. That calm suggests traders aren\u2019t spooked by every headline anymore.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Bitcoin Volatility Drops Below Stocks<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Based on reports from Bitwise Europe, Bitcoin\u2019s 60-day realized <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Andre_Dragosch\/status\/1937026905112187096?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">volatility<\/a> sat at about 27\u201328% as of June 23. That figure trails the S&amp;P 500 at roughly 30% and lags behind the Nasdaq 100 near 35%.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">GM <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/15.1.0\/72x72\/2615.png\" alt=\"\u2615\" class=\"wp-smiley\" style=\"height: 1em; max-height: 1em;\"><\/p>\n<p>I don\u2019t now who needs to hear this but <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">#bitcoin<\/a> continues to exhibit a lower realized vol than major US equity indices despite record high geopolitical uncertainty. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nnTW08hera\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/nnTW08hera<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Andr\u00e9 Dragosch, PhD<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/15.1.0\/72x72\/26a1.png\" alt=\"\u26a1\" class=\"wp-smiley\" style=\"height: 1em; max-height: 1em;\"> (@Andre_Dragosch) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Andre_Dragosch\/status\/1937026905112187096?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">June 23, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2><strong>Calm Amid Geopolitical Tension<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The recent low volatility is especially clear against rising <a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/israel-iran-war-nuclear-trump-bomber-news-06-23-2025-9e78510c88ccc5e262341f41550609c5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Middle East clashes<\/a>. News of US bombing in Iran knocked the crypto down 6% to under $100,000. In past crises\u2014like the start of the Russia-Ukraine war in February 2022\u2014Bitcoin\u2019s 60-day realized volatility jumped to around 60\u201365%. Back then, traders sold in panic. Now, most buyers and sellers seem to hold their ground.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Long-Term Holders Extend Their Grip<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Based on reports from Glassnode analysts, long-term holders have hoarded a record 14.53 million BTC on a 30-day average as of June 23. That\u2019s about 70% of the crypto asset\u2019s full 21 million supply.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/HD6dkKOC\/\" width=\"1835\" height=\"884\"><\/p>\n<p>Over 30% of coins in circulation rest with just 216 large entities\u2014think ETFs, exchanges, custodians, and corporate treasuries. When so many coins sit idle, there\u2019s less to fuel frantic trading.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Institutional Bets Support Price Outlook<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Market veterans like BitMEX co-founder <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoHayes\/status\/1904000755381760058\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Arthur Hayes<\/a> and OSL\u2019s Eugene Cheung see this calm as a base for higher prices. They predict Bitcoin will clear $100,000 and stay there as central banks print cash and big investors pile in.<\/p>\n<p>Some analysts even eye levels above <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=R2n9_i3HWPw&amp;t=6s\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">$150,000<\/a> by the end of 2025. Such forecasts rest on steady demand and shrinking supply on exchanges.<\/p>\n<p><strong>What Comes Next For Bitcoin<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The lower swings hint that Bitcoin is maturing, with more people treating it like a regular asset. A quieter market can draw in more cautious investors. But it won\u2019t stay this tame forever.<\/p>\n<p>Big holders could still spark big moves if they sell large chunks. For now, Bitcoin\u2019s steadier path may mark a turning point\u2014one that blends old-school market behavior with the new forces shaping crypto.<\/p>\n<p><em>Featured image from Atta Kenare\/AFP\/Getty Images, chart from TradingView<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin stayed surprisingly steady this week as global conflicts flared. According to Andr\u00e9 Dragosch, Head of Research at Bitwise Europe, the coin\u2019s recent swings have quieted down. Investors saw less shake and rattle even after a 7% dip over the weekend. That calm suggests traders aren\u2019t spooked by every headline anymore. Bitcoin Volatility Drops Below [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-33316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33316","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=33316"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33316\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=33316"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=33316"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=33316"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}