{"id":35176,"date":"2025-07-04T09:01:43","date_gmt":"2025-07-04T09:01:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=35176"},"modified":"2025-07-04T09:01:43","modified_gmt":"2025-07-04T09:01:43","slug":"bitcoin-under-pressure-as-us-job-growth-slashes-fed-rate-cut-hopes-is-the-rally-over","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=35176","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Under Pressure As US Job Growth Slashes Fed Rate Cut Hopes \u2013 Is The Rally Over?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) recorded slight losses following the release of the US June employment report, which showed unemployment falling to 4.1%, compared to the consensus forecast of 4.3%. The drop in the unemployment rate is likely to prompt the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged, a scenario that could weigh on risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies.<\/p>\n<h2>Strong Employment Data May Hurt Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>The lower-than-expected unemployment rate complicates the Federal Reserve\u2019s policy decisions. This comes amid ongoing pressure from US President Donald Trump to implement rate cuts quickly.<\/p>\n<p>The robust labor market data, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/DeItaone\/status\/1940750225297080580\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">released<\/a> today, highlights continued strength in the US economy, reducing the likelihood of an imminent rate cut. Notably, nonfarm payrolls (NFP) rose by 147,000 in June, significantly surpassing analysts\u2019 expectations of 118,000 new jobs.<\/p>\n<p>With the unemployment rate falling to its lowest level since February 2025 and NFP growth exceeding forecasts, the Fed is likely to maintain elevated interest rates for longer to ensure inflation continues to trend downward.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-522118 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22%E2%80%AFPM.png?resize=2128%2C648\" alt=\"data\" width=\"2128\" height=\"648\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=2128 2128w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.12.22\u202fPM.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Data<\/a> from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) FedWatch Tool now shows a 95.3% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady at its July 30 meeting. This is substantially up from 75% before the jobs report.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-522121 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32%E2%80%AFAM.png?resize=2570%2C1392\" alt=\"fed\" width=\"2570\" height=\"1392\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=2570 2570w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-11.39.32\u202fAM.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\"><\/p>\n<p>In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Amr Taha noted that a strong job market could hurt Bitcoin in the near term. He explained:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>A resilient jobs market supports a stronger US dollar, since expectations for a delayed or reduced pace of interest rate cuts make the greenback more attractive relative to other currencies. Historically, strong NFP readings and hawkish Fed expectations tend to pressure risk assets, including Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h2>Binance Sees Aggressive BTC Buying Activity<\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, Taha also highlighted a sharp spike in Binance\u2019s Net Taker Volume just before the release of the employment data. The metric surpassed $100 million, signaling a surge in aggressive buying activity.<\/p>\n<p>The jump in Net Taker Volume on Binance reflects strong bullish sentiment among Bitcoin investors and traders. For context, Net Taker Volume measures the difference between aggressive buy and sell orders on an exchange, indicating which side \u2013 buyers or sellers \u2013 is dominating market activity.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-522131 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00%E2%80%AFPM.png?resize=980%2C554\" alt=\"Net taker\" width=\"980\" height=\"554\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=1552 1552w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Screenshot-2025-07-03-at-12.23.00\u202fPM.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px\"><\/p>\n<p>Some analysts believe Bitcoin could see more upside due to its sustained positive price momentum in recent weeks. For example, BTC\u2019s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to move <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-weekly-rsi-climbs-toward-upper-boundary-will-btc-bulls-push-through\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">toward<\/a> its upper trendline, a pattern that has historically preceded new all-time highs (ATHs).<\/p>\n<p>That said, <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-recovery-gains-momentum-while-network-activity-remains-muted-risk-ahead\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">not<\/a> everyone shares the bullish view. In a recent post on X, veteran crypto analyst Ali Martinez <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-flashes-rare-signal-that-could-trigger-drop-below-40000-analyst-warns\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">warned<\/a> that Bitcoin has flashed a rare bearish signal that could push the price down to $40,000. At press time, BTC trades at $109,114, up 0.6% in the past 24 hours.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-522115 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?resize=980%2C623\" alt=\"bitcoin\" width=\"980\" height=\"623\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=2648 2648w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/bitcoin_1f236e.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) recorded slight losses following the release of the US June employment report, which showed unemployment falling to 4.1%, compared to the consensus forecast of 4.3%. The drop in the unemployment rate is likely to prompt the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged, a scenario that could weigh on risk-on assets, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-35176","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35176","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=35176"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35176\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=35176"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=35176"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=35176"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}