{"id":43842,"date":"2025-08-25T06:01:36","date_gmt":"2025-08-25T06:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=43842"},"modified":"2025-08-25T06:01:36","modified_gmt":"2025-08-25T06:01:36","slug":"crypto-news-expectations-for-september-rate-cuts-drop-despite-powells-speech","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=43842","title":{"rendered":"Crypto News: Expectations For September Rate Cuts Drop Despite Powell\u2019s Speech"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p class=\"p2\">Last week, Federal Reverse Chairman Jerome Powell set the crypto community on fire after <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/powell-spark-300m-surge-into-bitcoin-futures-minute\/\">speaking at the annual Jackson Hold economic symposium<\/a>. During his speech, Powell had hinted toward possible rate cuts that could happen in the month of September, and since rate cuts have been historically bullish for risk assets, this quickly triggered a rapid bullish response from the community. However, expectations for a rate cut seem to have dwindled in the last few weeks, according to the CME Group\u2019s FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p2\">Probability Of Rate Cuts Drops From 92% To 75%<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p2\">Earlier in the month of August, <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/september-cuts-bitcoin-crypto\/\">Bitcoinist had reported<\/a> that the CME Group\u2019s FedWatch tool was showing a high 92% probability of rate cuts happening in the month of September. This had come after there were no rate cuts in July, turning all eyes on the next September 17 date, with only a 7.8% probability that the Fed will keep rates the same and 0% probability of a rate increase.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">However, as the month of September draws closer, the probability of a rate cut looks to be on the decline. According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cmegroup.com\/markets\/interest-rates\/cme-fedwatch-tool.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">FedWatch website<\/a>, there is now a 75% probability that the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/ripple-in-ranks-of-swift-and-brics\/\">Federal Reserve<\/a> will institute rate cuts on September 17. This marks a major difference in the numbers from earlier in the month, suggesting that market developments have triggered a much more conservative outlook.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-564187\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=640&amp;resize=640%2C338\" alt=\"Crypto Fed rate cuts\" width=\"640\" height=\"338\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=2626 2626w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=1536 1536w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=2048 2048w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Screenshot-2025-08-24-at-15.16.37.png?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\"><\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">The drop in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/ethereum\/expert-says-sell-all-ethereum\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">expectation of a rate cut <\/a>has now moved into the more conservative territory of rates being kept the same. The tool shows that there is now a 25% probability that the Fed will choose to maintain rates as it did back in July. Interestingly, the probability of an interest rate hike in the month of September is still at 0%, showing no chance of this happening.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"p2\">Why Rise In Optimism Could Affect Crypto<\/h2>\n<p class=\"p2\">Despite the drop in the probability, optimism around a possible Fed rate cut is still high, as shown by <a href=\"https:\/\/app.santiment.net\/insights\/read\/this-week-in-crypto-full-written-summary-w4-august-8868?utm_source=weekly&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=year2025week34\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">data<\/a> from Santiment. A report from the platform pointed out that social mentions of words like \u201cfed\u201d, \u201crate\u201d, and \u201ccut\u201d have all hit a new all-time high. The report translates this as euphoria being very high, and for the crypto market, this could mean that it is headed for a top.<\/p>\n<p class=\"p2\">Another thing that points toward a possible crypto top is the fact that Bitcoin balances on exchanges are on the rise once more. Usually, when investors send cryptocurrencies to exchanges, it means they are looking to sell, and such <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/avoid-bitcoin-price-60000\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">profit-taking could signal a top<\/a>. As such, investors could benefit from taking a cautious stance as the market decides on a direction <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/feds-bowman-three-rate-cut-year-end-crypto-catalyst\/\">ahead of the FOMC meeting<\/a> in September.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/yv4NMR6p\/\" alt=\"Crypto total market cap chart from TradingView.com\" width=\"3286\" height=\"1688\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, Federal Reverse Chairman Jerome Powell set the crypto community on fire after speaking at the annual Jackson Hold economic symposium. During his speech, Powell had hinted toward possible rate cuts that could happen in the month of September, and since rate cuts have been historically bullish for risk assets, this quickly triggered a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-43842","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43842","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=43842"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43842\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=43842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=43842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=43842"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}