{"id":45008,"date":"2025-09-01T04:16:58","date_gmt":"2025-09-01T04:16:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=45008"},"modified":"2025-09-01T04:16:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-01T04:16:58","slug":"red-september-bitcoin-risks-sliding-to-100k-after-6-monthly-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=45008","title":{"rendered":"Red September? Bitcoin Risks Sliding to $100K After 6% Monthly Drop"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><strong><em>This is a daily analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) has breached key support levels in a sign of increasing bearish momentum that suggests a risk of a slide to $100,000.<\/p>\n<p>The leading cryptocurrency by market value fell 6.5% in August, ending the four-month winning streak as the U.S.-listed spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) bled $751 million, according to data source <a href=\"https:\/\/sosovalue.com\/assets\/etf\/Total_Crypto_Spot_ETF_Fund_Flow?page=usBTC\">SoSoValue<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The recent price drop saw bitcoin break below several key support levels, including the Ichimoku cloud, and the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs). It also pierced crucial horizontal support zones formed by the May high of $111,965 and the December high of $109,364, according to the daily chart sourced from TradingView.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.sanity.io\/images\/s3y3vcno\/production\/cba51801fa9543e9995009ef24fa0e9c8452f25a-2854x1402.png?auto=format\" alt=\"BTC's daily chart. (TradingView\/CoinDesk)\" title=\"BTC's daily chart. (TradingView\/CoinDesk)\"><\/p>\n<p>These breakdowns underscore growing market weakness, confirming a bearish shift in key momentum indicators such as the Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) and the MACD histogram.<\/p>\n<p>The short-term exponential moving average (EMA) band of the GMMA (green) has crossed below the longer-term band (red), signaling a clear bearish momentum shift. Meanwhile, the weekly MACD histogram has dropped below zero, indicating a transition from a bullish to a bearish trend.<\/p>\n<p>Together, these signals indicate a likelihood of a sustained sell-off, potentially driving the price down to the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $101,366, and possibly to the $100,000 mark.<\/p>\n<p>The negative technical outlook aligns with seasonal trends, which show September historically as a bearish month for bitcoin. Since 2013, BTC has delivered an average return of -3.49%, closing lower in eight of the past 12 September months, according to data from Coinglass.<\/p>\n<p>As for bulls, overcoming the lower high of $113,510 set on Aug. 28 is crucial to negating the bearish outlook.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.sanity.io\/images\/s3y3vcno\/production\/c3b963123fda1860330c06dcc449194033a0369e-2860x1402.png?auto=format\" alt=\"BTC's daily and weekly charts. (TradingView\/CoinDesk)\" title=\"BTC's daily and weekly charts. (TradingView\/CoinDesk)\"><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Support: <\/strong>$105,240 (the 38.2% Fib retracement of the April-August rally), $101,366 (the 200-day SMA), $100,000. <\/li>\n<li><strong>Resistance: <\/strong>$110,756 (the lower end of the Ichimoku cloud), $113,510 (the lower high), $115,938 (the 50-day SMA).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is a daily analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole. Bitcoin (BTC) has breached key support levels in a sign of increasing bearish momentum that suggests a risk of a slide to $100,000. The leading cryptocurrency by market value fell 6.5% in August, ending the four-month winning streak as the U.S.-listed [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-45008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45008"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45008\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}