{"id":47620,"date":"2025-09-15T15:46:44","date_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:46:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=47620"},"modified":"2025-09-15T15:46:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-15T15:46:44","slug":"what-to-expect-from-fomc-meeting-what-it-means-for-bitcoin-and-risk-assets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=47620","title":{"rendered":"What To Expect From FOMC Meeting: What It Means for Bitcoin and Risk Assets"},"content":{"rendered":"
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What should you expect from the FOMC meeting this week? The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets on September 16\u201317, with traders betting heavily on a 25-basis-point rate cut.<\/p>\n

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there\u2019s a 92% probability<\/a> of easing, a near certainty. The case rests on cooling inflation and weakening labor data.\u00a0 TLDW: FOMC meeting will likely lower interest rates, effectively turning on money printers. Expect long bond yields to GO UP!<\/p>\n

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\u201cThe probability of a quarter-point cut is almost baked in,\u201d analysts at CME noted, pointing to CPI at 2.9% year-over-year and PPI softening below 3%.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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$2.29T<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
24h<\/span>7d<\/span>1y<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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This will mark the Fed\u2019s first decisive pivot since the hiking cycle began in 2022, when\u00a0crypto was at historic lows.<\/a> Markets<\/span>\u00a0are primed for Powell\u2019s post-meeting speech to confirm whether more cuts could follow in October or December.<\/p>\n

Will Powell Cut Rates If Inflation Data is Poor? Bitcoin and Crypto ETFs Signal Upside Potential<\/h2>\n
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(Source: TradingView<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

PPI and CPI have eased compared with last year, but remain above the Fed\u2019s 2% target. CPI came in at 2.9% in August, while Core CPI was 3.1%, both elevated but trending lower. PPI showed a similar pattern with headline 3.3% and core 2.8%.<\/p>\n

The Fed faces a balancing act of inflation, which isn\u2019t yet \u201cbeaten,\u201d but also fading job growth<\/a>. August\u2019s jobs report showed sub-100K monthly gains for the first time since COVID, and June posted a negative print of \u201313K.<\/p>\n

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US blue-collar job growth has completely stagnated, hitting the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic\u2014manufacturing is currently losing jobs at a rapid pace, and growth in construction\/transportation has slowed to a crawl pic.twitter.com\/auNndcxL3u<\/a><\/p>\n

— Joey Politano \ud83c\udff3\ufe0f\u200d\ud83c\udf08 (@JosephPolitano) September 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n