{"id":47776,"date":"2025-09-16T11:32:13","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T11:32:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=47776"},"modified":"2025-09-16T11:32:13","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T11:32:13","slug":"btc-usd-braces-for-fed-what-do-retail-sales-mom-reveal-for-fomc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=47776","title":{"rendered":"BTC USD Braces For Fed: What do Retail Sales MoM reveal for FOMC?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Everyone is expecting BTC USD to pump after the rate cuts. You know what that means. This is the start of figuring out if \"btcBTC \u25b20.79%<\/span><\/a> can add another $3 Tn in market cap to bring the price of Bitcoin to 200k USD in 2025.<\/p>\n

Currently, BTC is just above $115,000, heading into one of the most important macro weeks<\/a> of the year.<\/p>\n

With the Federal Reserve\u2019s<\/a> policy meeting set for September 17, let\u2019s talk about the odds that BTC USD breaks new ATHs or crashes below $100,000<\/p>\n

DISCOVER:\u00a0<\/span>Next 1000X Crypto: 10+ Crypto Tokens That Can Hit 1000x in 2025<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

BTC USD Range-Bound Ahead of Fed Decision: Are Fed Rate Cuts Enough For $150,000?<\/h2>\n
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As of press time, Bitcoin traded at $115,046, slipping 0.2% in the past 24 hours. 99Bitcoins TA reveals that BTC must decisively clear $116,000 to confirm momentum toward the $120,000\u2013$125,000 range. Failure to break out leaves the door open for a retest of $107,500 support.<\/p>\n

On-chain data<\/a> showed short-term holders realizing $189 million in daily profits last week, a factor that adds near-term selling pressure.<\/p>\n

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\u201cBitcoin now sits at the center of macroeconomic tension, which could drive it in either direction depending on Fed policy direction,\u201d said MEXC chief analyst Shawn Young.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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(Source: WhaleAlert<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in a 96% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut. Moreover, if Jerome Powell delivers a dovish Fed tone, it could send Bitcoin surging past $120,000 as capital rotates out of bonds and into risk assets.<\/p>\n

Regardless, it\u2019s a Catch-22 for the Fed, as they\u2019re staring down weaker labor data that supports cuts, but sticky inflation near 3% complicates the Fed\u2019s path forward.<\/p>\n

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(Source: BLS<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Bitcoin has been stuck in a wide \u201cair gap\u201d trading range between $108,000 and $116,000 since August.<\/p>\n

Clearing resistance at $116K could open the way for a stronger recovery for it and other top cryptocurrencies<\/a>, while repeated rejections risk dragging BTC toward $105K.<\/p>\n

DISCOVER: Top 20 Crypto to Buy in 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

A Divided Fed, A Divided Market: Here\u2019s What Powell Needs to Say at FOMC<\/h2>\n

ETF flows and treasury demand suggest institutions are preparing for a bullish resolution from the Fed. Spot Bitcoin ETFs logged $2.3 billion in inflows last week, the highest in months, signaling aggressive positioning ahead of the Fed meeting.<\/p>\n

Additionally,\u00a0CoinGlass data\u00a0<\/a>shows that Bitcoin open interest is held by a firm.<\/span><\/p>\n

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(Source: CoinGlass<\/a>)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

One more metric of interest: According to the latest Census Bureau data, US retail sales rose +0.5% in July, in line with forecasts. June\u2019s figure was revised higher to +0.9%. The report, which tracks changes in retail spending excluding food services, is closely watched as a barometer of consumer demand and overall economic strength.<\/p>\n

For Bitcoin, we need to see a dovish Fed ,and continued ETF inflows could set up a breakout toward $125K and beyond. But if Powell is too cautious in his rhetoric, we may see BTC trapped between $107K and $115K, waiting for the next catalyst.<\/p>\n

EXPLORE: Did Dogecoin ETF Just Change Everything For Meme Coins?<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Key Takeaways<\/h2>\n