{"id":48430,"date":"2025-09-19T10:01:42","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T10:01:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=48430"},"modified":"2025-09-19T10:01:42","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T10:01:42","slug":"boom-then-bust-btc-eyes-175k-before-catastrophic-80-drop","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=48430","title":{"rendered":"Boom Then Bust? BTC Eyes $175K Before Catastrophic 80% Drop"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><strong>TL;DR<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin may climb to $175K before falling 70\u201380%, based on four past market cycles.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">$4.9T in expiring options today could bring sharp volatility across crypto and equities.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern suggests a bounce from $112K could push BTC toward $130K.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>Bitcoin\u2019s Past Cycles Show Repeated Deep Drops<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bitcoin has seen major corrections after each bull market cycle. Data reviewed by market analyst EGRAG CRYPTO shows that in 2011, the cryptocurrency fell around 93% from its peak. In 2013, the drop was around 86%, followed by 84% in 2017, and roughly 77% in 2022 after the 2021 top.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Notably, the average drawdown across these four cycles comes to around 85%. Based on this, EGRAG <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/egragcrypto\/status\/1968891046861095069\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">suggests<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a possible 70% to 80% decline in the next bear market. This is not guaranteed but is based on how Bitcoin has behaved over more than a decade of price history.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">According to EGRAG\u2019s market model, BTC may still have room to move higher before any major correction begins. The chart shared projects a <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">possible peak<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> at around $175,000. This is once again based on price structures that have formed in previous cycles.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_413074\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-413074\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb.jpeg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-413074\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) price chart\" width=\"1200\" height=\"545\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb-300x136.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb-1024x465.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb-768x349.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1I0WMPXkAIi6Vb-50x23.jpeg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-413074\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: EGRAG CRYPTO\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If that high is reached, and a 70\u201380% pullback follows as in past cycles, Bitcoin could fall into the range of $35,000 to $52,000. Timing remains uncertain. The model shows that in previous cycles, peaks formed several months after similar patterns developed.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><b>$4.9 Trillion in Expiries Could Move Markets<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Around $4.9 trillion worth of stock and ETF options are set to expire today. This amount is more than 1.2 times the total crypto market cap. These large quarterly expiries, often called triple witching, have a history of driving sharp moves in both traditional and crypto markets.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Crypto Rover <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">noted<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> that past expiries this year were followaed by clear market reactions. After the March 2025 expiry, Bitcoin dropped by about 17% over the next few weeks. The June expiry saw BTC fall below $100,000 shortly after. With the current expiry in play, some traders are preparing for increased volatility in the days ahead.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">TODAY, $4.9T in stock and ETF options expire.<\/p>\n<p>This is 1.2x the entire crypto market cap.<\/p>\n<p>Historically, these expirations trigger heavy volatility.<\/p>\n<p>March 2025 saw a crash weeks later, while June pushed <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">$BTC<\/a> below $100K. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Uox3DI4fEk\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/Uox3DI4fEk<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rovercrc\/status\/1968918729082945691?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\">September 19, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2><b>Technical Pattern Could Signal Short-Term Path<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ali Martinez <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ali_charts\/status\/1968766727401177533\" data-wpel-link=\"external\" target=\"_blank\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">shared<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> a chart that shows a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation on Bitcoin\u2019s 4-hour chart. The left shoulder formed in late August, the head in early September, and the right shoulder may be developing now.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">He noted that Bitcoin might dip to around $112,000\u2013$113,000 before rebounding. He added that \u201ca rally to $130,000\u201d could follow if the price breaks above the $117,950 neckline. Key resistance levels to watch in that case are $121,000, $125,000, and $127,000.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_413072\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-413072\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR.jpeg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-413072\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR.jpeg\" alt=\"Bitcoin (BTC) price chart\" width=\"1200\" height=\"839\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR-300x210.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR-1024x716.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR-768x537.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/G1HJLrRXAAA0vOR-50x35.jpeg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-413072\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Source: Ali Martinez\/X<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $116,800, with a slight\u00a0 24-hour drop and a 7-day gain of 1%. Trading volume over the last day stood at $36.7 billion.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/boom-then-bust-btc-eyes-175k-before-catastrophic-80-drop\/\">Boom Then Bust? BTC Eyes $175K Before Catastrophic 80% Drop<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TL;DR Bitcoin may climb to $175K before falling 70\u201380%, based on four past market cycles. $4.9T in expiring options today could bring sharp volatility across crypto and equities. Inverse head-and-shoulders pattern suggests a bounce from $112K could push BTC toward $130K. Bitcoin\u2019s Past Cycles Show Repeated Deep Drops Bitcoin has seen major corrections after each [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-48430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48430"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48430\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}