{"id":48680,"date":"2025-09-21T15:16:55","date_gmt":"2025-09-21T15:16:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=48680"},"modified":"2025-09-21T15:16:55","modified_gmt":"2025-09-21T15:16:55","slug":"will-tradfi-kill-btc-usd-volatility-lessons-on-maturation-from-forex","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=48680","title":{"rendered":"Will TradFi Kill BTC USD Volatility? Lessons on Maturation From Forex?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Wall Street may be taming Bitcoin\u2019s mood swings, turning BTC USD a little more like a major forex pair.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin held near $115,700 on Sunday, Sept. 21, as a growing question took center stage: is TradFi steadying Bitcoin\u2019s swings or changing their shape?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The debate picked up after fresh inflows to the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF and new remarks from Michael Saylor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In a Saturday <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">interview<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> on the Coin Stories podcast, Saylor said calmer price action helps, not hurts: \u201cYou want the volatility to decrease so the mega institutions feel comfortable entering the space and size.\u201d\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Michael Saylor: The Future of Stocks &amp; Bonds Backed By Bitcoin\" width=\"500\" height=\"281\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/CbODA93ByS0?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">He called it a normal \u201cgrowing stage\u201d as products and liquidity deepen.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">On the derivatives side, CME <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">said<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> crypto options notional open interest hit a record $7.1Bn on Sept. 9, led by Bitcoin contracts, evidence that hedging tools for bigger players keep expanding.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Our Crypto options notional open interest hit an all-time high of $7.1B on September 9, led by record highs in our Bitcoin contracts. <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/16.0.1\/72x72\/1f680.png\" alt=\"\ud83d\ude80\" class=\"wp-smiley\" style=\"height: 1em; max-height: 1em;\"><\/p>\n<p>Institutional players are no longer just exploring digital assets; they&#8217;re actively using options for risk management and capital efficiency.\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9gN9zkM5QP\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/9gN9zkM5QP<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CME Group (@CMEGroup) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CMEGroup\/status\/1966139672473620612?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">September 11, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">TradFi probably won\u2019t erase BTC USD volatility. It may smooth out fewer wild gaps, more mean-reverting drift, with the occasional shock that still bites.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">What to watch next: whether ETF flows stay positive into quarter-end, how options price the path of Fed cuts, and whether regulation or geopolitics jolts implied vol off the floor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>DISCOVER:\u00a0<\/b><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/next-crypto-to-explode\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\"><b>20+ Next Crypto to Explode in 2025<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><b>Bitcoin Price Prediction: Bitcoin Cycle Trap: Is 2025 Repeating the 2017 and 2021 Pattern?<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">According to an analysis <\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">shared<\/span><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> by trader Merlijn, Bitcoin\u2019s long-term chart once again echoes its historical cycle patterns.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BITCOIN IS DOING IT AGAIN.<\/p>\n<p>Every cycle has the same cycle trap.<br \/>Flush. Confuse. Then detonate higher.<\/p>\n<p>2017: Check<br \/>2021: Check<br \/>2025: Loading<\/p>\n<p>Ignore the playbook, and you\u2019ll miss the parabola. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/xnYMx5ZSvB\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/xnYMx5ZSvB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/1969672949788786784?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">September 21, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The chart shows that every major bull run since 2017 has included a mid-cycle \u201ctrap\u201d\u00a0 a sharp correction that forces weaker hands out before the market resumes its rise.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">In 2017, Bitcoin rose rapidly, and then it experienced a sharp decline that shook confidence, only to climb to historic levels a few months later.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The same pattern repeated in 2021, with prices freezing around $60,000 and then surging up.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-285450\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"984\" srcset=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270-300x185.jpg 300w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270-1024x630.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270-768x472.jpg 768w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270-1536x945.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123746.270-50x31.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\"><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">(<\/span><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MerlijnTrader\/status\/1969672949788786784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: X<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The present chart of Merlijn also indicates 2025 to be another instance of this pattern.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">BTC USD rose to $100,000, and then retreated, creating yet another level of a flush and confusion phase. The price has been above $115,000 and has surged after returning to six figures.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The analysis shows the presence of downward resistance lines, which historically yielded following these cycle traps, thus resulting in parabolic progressions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Green zones on the chart show prior acceleration phases, each ending in fresh all-time highs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bitcoin may be on the verge of another explosive rally if the pattern plays out again. Merlijn summed up the sequence simply: \u201cFlush. Confuse. Then detonate higher.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>DISCOVER:\u00a0<\/b><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/best-meme-coin-icos\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\"><b>Best Meme Coin ICOs to Invest in\u00a0 Today<\/b><\/a><\/p>\n<h2><b>Is BTC USD Weekly Chart Pointing Toward a Massive Q4 Rally?<\/b><\/h2>\n<div class=\"cpp-crypto-chart cpp-crypto-chart-99btc cpp-crypto-chart-\u201cbtc\u201d\" data-coin-symbol=\"\u201cbtc\u201d\" data-price-usd=\"\u201cBTC\u201d Price (USD)\" data-main-color=\"#4caf05\" data-watermark-image=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/06\/99bitcoins-logo.png\" data-chart-style=\"99btc\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-top-section\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-info-section\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-details\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-labels-row\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-name\">\u201cBTC\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-price-info\">Price<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-values-row\">\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-coin-symbol\">\u201cBTC\u201d<\/div>\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-price\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"cpp-chart-selectors cpp-chart-selectors-99btc\"><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"24h\">24h<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"7d\">7d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"30d\">30d<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"1y\">1y<\/span><span class=\"cpp-chart-selector\" data-period=\"all_time\">All time<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><canvas id=\"cpp-chart-68d011b86f512\" class=\"cpp-chart-container cpp-chart-container-99btc\"><\/canvas><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Ash Crypto <\/span><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Ashcryptoreal\/status\/1969664836046110949\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">posted<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400\"> Bitcoin\u2019s weekly chart, which is flashing a classic hidden bullish divergence.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BITCOIN WEEKLY HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE IS YET TO PLAY OUT<\/p>\n<p>MASSIVE BITCOIN PUMP IS COMING IN Q4 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZihXku43ag\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">pic.twitter.com\/ZihXku43ag<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ash Crypto (@Ashcryptoreal) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Ashcryptoreal\/status\/1969664836046110949?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">September 21, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Price has carved higher lows above $115,000 while the weekly RSI recently made lower lows and is now increasing. That mismatch often signals trend continuation, not reversal.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Buyers held the rising base around $114,000-$115,000, showing sellers couldn\u2019t push a deeper correction.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">RSI has bounced from a downward trendline near the mid-50s, adding momentum back into the move.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-285451\" src=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1600\" height=\"1041\" srcset=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715-300x195.jpg 300w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715-1024x666.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715-768x500.jpg 768w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715-1536x999.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/unnamed-2025-09-21T123756.715-50x33.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1600px) 100vw, 1600px\"><\/p>\n<p>(<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/Ashcryptoreal\/status\/1969664836046110949\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Source: X<\/span><\/a>)<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">The near-term test is $120,000, and the ceiling of the recent weekly closes. A decisive close above it would put $128,000-$130,000 in play, where the prior supply sits.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">Bulls argue the setup could fuel a fresh Q4 advance if strength builds through that band.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400\">For now, the structure remains constructive: steady accumulation at higher levels, improving momentum, and a clear line in the sand. Holding the $114,000-$115,000 shelf keeps the signal intact. Losing it would weaken the case and delay any breakout.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>DISCOVER:\u00a0<a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/cryptocurrency\/high-risk-high-reward-crypto\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener sponsored\">9+ Best High-Risk, High-Reward Crypto to Buy in September 2025<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong><a class=\"general-link\" href=\"https:\/\/discord.gg\/B7Uk6agkqj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Join The 99Bitcoins News Discord Here For The Latest Market Updates<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/news\/bitcoin-btc\/will-tradfi-kill-btc-usd-volatility-lessons-on-maturation-from-forex\/\">Will TradFi Kill BTC USD Volatility? Lessons on Maturation From Forex?<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/99bitcoins.com\/\">99Bitcoins<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wall Street may be taming Bitcoin\u2019s mood swings, turning BTC USD a little more like a major forex pair. Bitcoin held near $115,700 on Sunday, Sept. 21, as a growing question took center stage: is TradFi steadying Bitcoin\u2019s swings or changing their shape? The debate picked up after fresh inflows to the largest US spot [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-48680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48680","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48680"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48680\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48680"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48680"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48680"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}