{"id":49861,"date":"2025-09-27T16:31:44","date_gmt":"2025-09-27T16:31:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=49861"},"modified":"2025-09-27T16:31:44","modified_gmt":"2025-09-27T16:31:44","slug":"eth-risks-further-downfall-to-3-5k-if-this-support-cracks-ethereum-price-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=49861","title":{"rendered":"ETH Risks Further Downfall to $3.5K if This Support Cracks: Ethereum Price Analysis"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Ethereum is currently attempting to stabilize after the recent sell-off that pushed prices below key levels. While the bullish trend structure hasn\u2019t been fully broken on higher timeframes, both price action and on-chain metrics are showing mixed signals that traders should closely monitor.<\/p>\n<h2>Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n<p>By Shayan<\/p>\n<h3>The Daily Chart<\/h3>\n<p>On the daily chart, ETH has lost the midline of its ascending channel, breaking below the dotted trendline that had supported the price since August. The asset is now testing the $4,000 key level, which aligns closely with the lower boundary of the channel and the 100-day moving average located around the $3,800 level.<\/p>\n<p>The RSI has also dipped near the oversold region but has rebounded slightly and is now hovering around 40, hinting at a possible local bottom if buyers step in with volume. However, if the asset breaks below the $4,000 level, a deeper drop toward the $3.5K range could be expected, which would officially put the market in a downtrend situation.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-scaled.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-414207\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-300x159.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-1024x543.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-768x407.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-1536x814.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-2048x1085.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-Daily-5-50x26.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h3>The 4-Hour Chart<\/h3>\n<p>On the 4-hour chart, ETH shows signs of a short-term rebound after reaching the purple demand zone around $3,850. The price bounced quite sharply from this zone and is now consolidating just below $4K. This move forms a potential short-term bottom, especially since RSI has exited oversold territory and is now trending up.<\/p>\n<p>That said, the structure remains bearish as long as ETH stays below $4,200 level. If buyers can reclaim that level, momentum could shift back in favor of a bullish move. Otherwise, a drop toward the $3,500 area would be very probable in the coming weeks.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-scaled.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-414208\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1357\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-300x159.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-1024x543.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-768x407.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-1536x814.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-2048x1085.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/ETH-4H-11-50x26.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Onchain Analysis<\/h2>\n<h3>Exchange Supply Ratio<\/h3>\n<p>On the on-chain data front, Ethereum\u2019s Exchange Supply Ratio continues to trend downward, now sitting at its lowest point in years, near 0.13. This shows that a declining portion of the total ETH supply is held on centralized exchanges, suggesting a strong long-term accumulation trend. Historically, this has been a bullish signal, as it means fewer tokens are readily available for selling.<\/p>\n<p>However, this accumulation trend contrasts with the recent price action. While fewer ETH are sitting on exchanges, the price still dropped sharply, possibly due to short-term leverage wipeouts or broader market sentiment. In any case, this metric supports the idea that long-term holders remain confident, and unless we see a sudden reversal in exchange inflows, the macro bullish structure stays intact.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-scaled.jpg\" data-wpel-link=\"internal\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-414209\" src=\"http:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1440\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-2048x1152.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Ethereum-Exchange-Supply-Ratio-All-Exchanges-50x28.jpg 50w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/eth-risks-further-downfall-to-3-5k-if-this-support-cracks-ethereum-price-analysis\/\">ETH Risks Further Downfall to $3.5K if This Support Cracks: Ethereum Price Analysis<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ethereum is currently attempting to stabilize after the recent sell-off that pushed prices below key levels. While the bullish trend structure hasn\u2019t been fully broken on higher timeframes, both price action and on-chain metrics are showing mixed signals that traders should closely monitor. Technical Analysis By Shayan The Daily Chart On the daily chart, ETH [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-49861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=49861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49861\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=49861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=49861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=49861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}