{"id":51184,"date":"2025-10-05T17:47:18","date_gmt":"2025-10-05T17:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=51184"},"modified":"2025-10-05T17:47:18","modified_gmt":"2025-10-05T17:47:18","slug":"bitcoin-btc-could-surge-to-170k-in-q4-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=51184","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin (BTC) Could Surge to $170K in Q4: Report"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

With the dawn of October, sentiments surrounding Bitcoin appear to be improving. Interestingly, Bitcoin\u2019s historical price behavior continues to show patterns consistent with the so-called \u201cfour-year cycle,\u201d according to analysis by The DeFi Report.<\/p>\n

The platform revealed that it is confident that BTC will peak again in Q4.<\/p>\n

Four-Year Cycle Strikes Again<\/h2>\n

Current-cycle data indicates the market is in a \u201clate stage\u201d of expansion. The DeFi Report measured<\/a> from Bitcoin\u2019s November 2022 price trough, and found that 1,044 days have elapsed, which is comparable to the 1,063-day 2021 expansion and the 1,065-day 2017 cycle.<\/p>\n

Realized profits for BTC investors have reached $857 billion, which is 65% higher than in the 2021 cycle, while normalized to market cap, profit creation aligns closely with previous cycles.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, Coin Days Destroyed, a measure of how long coins are held before spending, has already exceeded the 2021 cycle by 15%, which points to active profit-taking. Long-term holder supply too mirrored past behavior as a distribution phase occurred in Q4 2024 through Q1 2025, followed by a rebound, which means that coins moved into new money entering the market.<\/p>\n

To top that, the market has continued to experience institutional participation and market maturation as Bitcoin dominance has not yet fallen to the 40% levels seen in prior cycles.<\/p>\n

Realized Price & MVRV-Z Score<\/h2>\n

Technical indicators further add context to these trends. The 200-week moving average is currently sitting at $53.1k. It has previously signaled bottoms and prior cycle highs, pointing to diminishing returns for upward moves this year. Realized price, a proxy for cost basis, sits at $53.8k, which also validated this trend.<\/p>\n

The MVRV-Z score is 2.28, already above comparable points in 2021. Previous instances have shown that a move toward a score of 3 could correspond to Bitcoin reaching $160k-$170k. This means that the crypto asset has significant potential upside if the cycle continues.<\/p>\n

While no law requires Bitcoin to follow the four-year cycle, the report stated that the convergence of behavioral, mechanical, and macroeconomic factors suggests<\/a> a Q4 peak is likely. Narrative anchoring, liquidity alignment, halving mechanics, innovation bursts, and volatility expectations together support this scenario, which makes the four-year cycle a durable framework.<\/p>\n

The post Bitcoin (BTC) Could Surge to $170K in Q4: Report<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

With the dawn of October, sentiments surrounding Bitcoin appear to be improving. Interestingly, Bitcoin\u2019s historical price behavior continues to show patterns consistent with the so-called \u201cfour-year cycle,\u201d according to analysis by The DeFi Report. The platform revealed that it is confident that BTC will peak again in Q4. Four-Year Cycle Strikes Again Current-cycle data indicates […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-51184","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51184","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=51184"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51184\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=51184"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=51184"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=51184"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}