{"id":54770,"date":"2025-10-25T03:46:33","date_gmt":"2025-10-25T03:46:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=54770"},"modified":"2025-10-25T03:46:33","modified_gmt":"2025-10-25T03:46:33","slug":"will-trump-pardon-sam-bankman-fried-polymarket-odds-surge-as-traders-react-to-czs-release","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=54770","title":{"rendered":"Will Trump Pardon Sam Bankman-Fried? Polymarket Odds Surge as Traders React to CZ\u2019s Release"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Speculation is heating up in crypto circles as betting markets Polymarket surged on the possibility that former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) could receive a presidential pardon from Donald Trump.<\/p>\n

Following Trump\u2019s surprise pardon of Binance founder Changpeng \u201cCZ\u201d Zhao, odds on prediction platform Polymarket for an SBF pardon skyrocketed from 5.6% to over 12% within 12 hours, with total wagers surpassing $66,339 in Volume.<\/p>\n

\"Ethereum<\/p>\n

Polymarket Bets on SBF Pardon Double After Trump\u2019s CZ Clemency<\/strong><\/h2>\n

A Polymarket market<\/a> tracking whether Bankman-Fried will be released from custody in 2025 has seen heightened activity, spiking from 4.3% to 15% before stabilizing around 12%. The renewed interest reflects growing curiosity over whether Trump\u2019s pro-crypto stance could extend to other high-profile figures in the industry.<\/p>\n

Bankman-Fried, currently serving a 25-year prison sentence for fraud and conspiracy, is appealing his conviction, but analysts suggest no ruling is likely before the end of the year. That makes a presidential pardon his only realistic path to early release.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s CZ Pardon Fuels Comparisons, and Controversy<\/strong><\/h2>\n

The surge in betting odds came shortly after Trump pardoned CZ, who had served four months for Anti-Money Laundering violations. Trump claimed Zhao was \u201cpersecuted by the Biden administration\u201d and that his actions were \u201cnot even a crime.\u201d<\/p>\n

Crypto analysts were quick to compare CZ\u2019s relatively minor compliance breaches to Bankman-Fried\u2019s sweeping fraud case, which involved misappropriating billions<\/a> in customer deposits. \u201cCZ\u2019s wrongdoing was compliance-related and nowhere near the scale of SBF\u2019s,\u201d said crypto lawyer Sasha Hodder.<\/p>\n

Similarly, attorney Jake Chervinsky said he would be \u201ctruly shocked\u201d if Trump granted Bankman-Fried clemency, citing his role as a \u201cDemocratic mega-donor\u201d and the political optics surrounding FTX\u2019s collapse.<\/p>\n

Political Ties Could Make or Break SBF\u2019s Pardon Hopes<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Reports suggest that SBF and his family are quietly lobbying for leniency, with his parents reaching out to figures close to Trump. He has also made appearances on conservative media platforms, attempting to recast himself as a victim of political bias.<\/p>\n

However, unlike CZ, who has close ties to Trump\u2019s circle through the World Liberty Financial crypto venture, Bankman-Fried lacks direct political connections. Experts believe that makes his chances of a pardon slim despite rising Polymarket odds.<\/p>\n

Nonetheless, the renewed speculation shows how Trump\u2019s pro-crypto gestures are molding the narrative around justice and power in digital finance.<\/p>\n

Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Speculation is heating up in crypto circles as betting markets Polymarket surged on the possibility that former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) could receive a presidential pardon from Donald Trump. Following Trump\u2019s surprise pardon of Binance founder Changpeng \u201cCZ\u201d Zhao, odds on prediction platform Polymarket for an SBF pardon skyrocketed from 5.6% to over 12% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-54770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=54770"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54770\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=54770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=54770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=54770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}