{"id":61443,"date":"2025-12-02T13:17:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T13:17:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=61443"},"modified":"2025-12-02T13:17:39","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T13:17:39","slug":"if-youre-expecting-a-bitcoin-bear-market-in-2026-you-have-it-wrong-grayscale-says","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=61443","title":{"rendered":"If You&#8217;re Expecting A Bitcoin Bear Market In 2026, You Have It Wrong, Grayscale Says"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><strong>Grayscale<\/strong> has shot down <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong> <a class=\"ticker-link\" data-ticker=\"BTC\" data-exchange=\"CRYPTO\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/quote\/BTC-USD\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">(CRYPTO: <\/a><a class=\"ticker\" href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/quote\/btc\/usd\">BTC<\/a>) price crash predictions, predicting that the next major leg could take prices <a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/crypto\/cryptocurrency\/25\/11\/49113611\/bitcoins-four-year-cycle-isnt-broken-it-was-never-real-and-the-data-finally-proves-it\">beyond prior records<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Grayscale Says Current Drawdown Matches Bull-Market Norms<\/h3>\n<p>In its November market commentary published on Monday, Grayscale <a href=\"https:\/\/research.grayscale.com\/market-commentary\/november-2025-what-it-takes-to-hodl\">said<\/a> Bitcoin&#8217;s 32% drop from its October peak fits the pattern of typical bull-market pullbacks.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It noted that Bitcoin has posted declines of 10% or more about 50 times since 2010, making sharp drawdowns a recurring feature of its cycle.<\/p>\n<p>The firm&#8217;s latest report said investors often underestimate how common such moves are, even during strong cycles.<\/p>\n<p>The research team said it does not expect Bitcoin to enter a prolonged 2-3-year drawdown similar to past &#8220;cyclical&#8221; declines.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Instead, the firm highlighted that the current market structure differs from prior cycles due to the influence of exchange-traded products and corporate digital asset treasuries.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Grayscale said this shift reduces the relevance of the traditional four-year price rhythm tied to Bitcoin&#8217;s supply halving.<\/p>\n<p>The firm also pointed to the absence of a parabolic rally in the latest cycle \u2014 a pattern that previously preceded multi-year crashes.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It said this moderation, combined with evolving market participation, supports a more constructive outlook for 2025 and 2026.<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Hedging Activity And On-Chain Signals Indicate Bottoming Effort<\/h3>\n<p>Grayscale noted that Bitcoin put-option skew remains elevated across three and six-month tenors, signaling active downside hedging.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The firm said &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/crypto\/cryptocurrency\/25\/12\/49157385\/if-youre-expecting-a-bitcoin-bear-market-in-2026-you-have-it-wrong?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&amp;utm_medium=rss_feed_free&amp;utm_content=taxonomy_rss&amp;utm_campaign=channel\" alt=\"If\" you expecting a bitcoin bear market in have it wrong grayscale says>Full story available on Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Grayscale has shot down Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) price crash predictions, predicting that the next major leg could take prices beyond prior records. Grayscale Says Current Drawdown Matches Bull-Market Norms In its November market commentary published on Monday, Grayscale said Bitcoin&#8217;s 32% drop from its October peak fits the pattern of typical bull-market pullbacks.\u00a0 It noted [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-61443","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61443","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=61443"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61443\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=61443"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=61443"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=61443"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}