{"id":64968,"date":"2025-12-23T20:01:47","date_gmt":"2025-12-23T20:01:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=64968"},"modified":"2025-12-23T20:01:47","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T20:01:47","slug":"bitcoins-cooling-network-may-be-confirming-the-markets-present-state-heres-what-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=64968","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Cooling Network May Be Confirming The Market\u2019s Present State \u2013 Here\u2019s What To Know"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Since the sharp pullback in <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/2003041021572325471?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">the price of Bitcoin<\/a> from its all-time high of $126,000, speculations about a bear market phase have significantly stirred up in the community. After weeks of steady downside price action, several key on-chain indicators are beginning to show that BTC has flipped into a bear market phase.<\/p>\n<h2>Network Activity Slows Down Amid Waning Bitcoin Price Action<\/h2>\n<p>With Bitcoin\u2019s price persistently demonstrating bearish performance, <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/a-structural-shift-in-bitcoin-btcs-network-activity\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">on-chain activity <\/a>appears to have undergone a crucial shift. What appeared to be a typical decline is now exposing more profound shifts in on-chain activity, long-term holdings, and traders\u2019 behavior.<\/p>\n<p>Presently, Bitcoin\u2019s network activity is entering a noticeably calmer phase, which provides a clear picture of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-neither-bull-nor-bear-market\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">market\u2019s current status<\/a>. In the <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/2003041021572325471?s=20\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">quick-take post<\/a>, GugaOnChain revealed the BTC Bull-Bear Cycle indicator and the MA_30D below the MA_365D (-0.52%), both of which confirm that the BTC market remains in a bear market.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>However, the platform\u2019s analysis of the current market state is mainly centered on the Bitcoin Highly Active Address metric. This key metric points to a slowdown in the BTC Network. A look at the chart reveals a steady drop in the highly active BTC addresses, reinforcing lower speculative activity and suggesting that higher volatility lies ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Following the sharp pullback, highly <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/news\/bitcoin\/bitcoin-active-addresses-slide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">active BTC addresses<\/a> have declined from 43,300 to 41,500, indicating that large players are exiting the market, consistent with a defensive phase. Historically, whenever highly active addresses shrike, it signals a retreat by traders and institutions, which supports the transition into quiet accumulation phases that lead to future volatility.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-647926 size-medium\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=640&amp;resize=640%2C360\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=1280 1280w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=640 640w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=768 768w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=980 980w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=750 750w, https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/Bitcoin-chart-from-GugaOnChain.webp?w=1140 1140w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\"><\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, the data shows that the total number of transactions on the network has fallen from 460,000 to 438,000 over the past few days. GugaOnChain highlighted that when there is a lower transaction count, there is a reduction in speculative use.<\/p>\n<p>It is worth noting that dropping transaction counts were an obvious symptom of waning speculative interest in previous down cycles, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-price-lags-network-utility-a-valuation-reset-is-underway\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">the Bitcoin network<\/a> operated at reduced volumes until fresh catalysts emerged.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Another aspect that has experienced a decline is the network fees. Data shows that the fees fell from 233,000 to 230,000, suggesting a less congested network. During previous bear markets, lower fees often coincided with periods of weaker demand, showing that users were not vying for block space and fostering a low-pressure environment.<\/p>\n<h2>How Does The Current Trend Go Against The 2018 Market Cycle<\/h2>\n<p>According to the platform, the current data from the metric is similar to that observed in the 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/did-2025-mark-a-bear-market-for-bitcoin-predictions-point-to-a-150000-rally-in-2026\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">bear market<\/a>. During the period, there were also fewer active addresses, fading transactions, lower fees, and the retreat of major players, as seen in the current state of the market.<\/p>\n<p>However, the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-window-santa-rally-analyst\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">Bitcoin<\/a> user base today is larger, with over 800,000 compared to the 600,000 in 2018; a sign of structural resilience. Meanwhile, low activity frequently precedes increased volatility, just as it did in the past.<\/p>\n<p>GugaOnChain stated that the indicators confirm a defensive scenario, and future comparisons with 2018 indicate that periods of low activity typically precede more volatility. Nonetheless, the larger user base of today indicates increased ecological resilience.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/7JLeQIa5\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2084\" height=\"1552\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Since the sharp pullback in the price of Bitcoin from its all-time high of $126,000, speculations about a bear market phase have significantly stirred up in the community. After weeks of steady downside price action, several key on-chain indicators are beginning to show that BTC has flipped into a bear market phase. Network Activity Slows [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-64968","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64968","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64968"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64968\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64968"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64968"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64968"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}