{"id":65524,"date":"2025-12-29T12:31:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-29T12:31:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=65524"},"modified":"2025-12-29T12:31:39","modified_gmt":"2025-12-29T12:31:39","slug":"bitcoin-btc-at-risk-break-below-100-week-ma-signals-trouble","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=65524","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin (BTC) at Risk? Break Below 100-Week MA Signals Trouble"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near a key long-term level as it heads into the final days of the year. The asset has shown a small recovery early in the week, but it remains close to a major technical support that has triggered large corrections in past cycles.<\/p>\n<p>At press time, Bitcoin is priced at around $86,700 with a 24-hour trading volume of $35 billion. The asset is down by 1% over the last day and almost 4% weekly. It reached a local low of $80,500 on November 21 and has been trading between $84,000 and $90,000 for over a month.<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Tests Historical Support Level<\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin is sitting on the 100-week simple moving average (SMA), a level that has marked the start of every major cycle correction over the past decade. Analyst Chain Mind noted that previous breaks below this line led to drawdowns of 35% to 55%. The most recent example was in 2022, when BTC fell more than 57% after closing below the same level.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">$BTC<\/a> IS SITTING RIGHT ON THE 100-WEEK MA<\/p>\n<p>LEVEL THAT HAS TRIGGERED EVERY MAJOR CYCLE CORRECTION<\/p>\n<p>PREVIOUS BREAKS BELOW THIS BAND LED TO SELLOFFS OF 35\u201355%<\/p>\n<p>BITCOIN COULD RETEST MUCH LOWER LEVELS<\/p>\n<p>WE ARE GOING LOWER <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XImkkTGmDg\">pic.twitter.com\/XImkkTGmDg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 \ud835\uddd6\ud835\udddb\ud835\uddd4\ud835\udddc\ud835\udde1 \ud835\udde0\ud835\udddc\ud835\udde1\ud835\uddd7 <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/16.0.1\/72x72\/26d3.png\" alt=\"\u26d3\" class=\"wp-smiley\" style=\"height: 1em; max-height: 1em;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.w.org\/images\/core\/emoji\/16.0.1\/72x72\/1f9e0.png\" alt=\"\ud83e\udde0\" class=\"wp-smiley\" style=\"height: 1em; max-height: 1em;\"> (@0xChainMind) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/0xChainMind\/status\/2005421030735855995?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 28, 2025<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The chart shows that this moving average has acted as a floor in past bear markets. The current pullback already reflects a 31% decline from the recent peak of around $126,000. A confirmed close below the 100-week SMA would place BTC at risk of repeating earlier patterns, possibly moving toward the $35,000 to $50,000 range.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the slope of the moving average is flattening, which suggests long-term momentum is slowing. Traders are watching the weekly close to see whether Bitcoin can stay above this area or continue lower.<\/p>\n<p>On shorter timeframes, BTC is attempting to reclaim the 20-day moving average after 78 days of staying below it. Micha\u00ebl van de Poppe <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\/status\/2005553284778488028?s=20\">commented<\/a> that this could change the short-term pattern, but warned,<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cNothing confirmed, as it has been breaking above this 20-Day MA during the previous correction.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Notably, the 20-day moving average remains an important short-term indicator. The price needs to hold above this level through the next few sessions to confirm a trend reversal.<\/p>\n<h2>Whale Activity and Sentiment Signals Mixed<\/h2>\n<p>Analyst CW <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CW8900\/status\/2005520485023617527?s=20\">pointed<\/a> to long positions held by Bitfinex whales, suggesting the early stages of a new cycle may be underway.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThe start of Bitfinex whales\u2019 profiting from their $BTC long positions signals the start of a bull market,\u201d the analyst said.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>However, others are less optimistic. Ali Martinez <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-price-surges-to-90k-decisive-recovery-or-another-dead-cat-bounce\/\">described<\/a> the current move as a potential dead-cat bounce, adding that BTC may \u201c<em>make another leg lower<\/em>\u201d before stabilizing. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still below 50, showing that momentum remains weak (per TradingView).<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin opened 2025 at $93,400. It is now down about 5% for the year. With three days left before the yearly candle closes, Lark Davis <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/LarkDavis\/status\/2005514085627253120?s=20\">noted<\/a>, \u201c<em>$BTC has never closed a post-halving year candle as red in its history.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-btc-at-risk-break-below-100-week-ma-signals-trouble\/\">Bitcoin (BTC) at Risk? Break Below 100-Week MA Signals Trouble<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near a key long-term level as it heads into the final days of the year. The asset has shown a small recovery early in the week, but it remains close to a major technical support that has triggered large corrections in past cycles. At press time, Bitcoin is priced at around [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-65524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65524"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65524\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}