{"id":71219,"date":"2026-02-06T11:01:41","date_gmt":"2026-02-06T11:01:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=71219"},"modified":"2026-02-06T11:01:41","modified_gmt":"2026-02-06T11:01:41","slug":"bitcoin-price-may-slide-toward-50000-by-march-april-top-analyst-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=71219","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Price May Slide Toward $50,000 By March-April, Top Analyst Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The Bitcoin price has extended its steep decline on Thursday, slipping below the $67,000 level and deepening a sell\u2011off that has been unfolding since October of last year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

With the latest move, the market\u2019s leading crypto has now retraced close to 50% from the all\u2011time highs it reached during that period, intensifying concerns that the market may not yet have found a durable bottom.<\/p>\n

Against this backdrop, market analyst Ali Martinez has pointed to historical price behavior that suggests further downside risk in the near term.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Analyst Flags 200\u2011Week SMA As Next Target<\/h2>\n

In a recent post <\/a>on X, formerly known as Twitter, Martinez noted that the Bitcoin price has once again closed below its 100\u2011week simple moving average (SMA), a development that has carried significant implications in previous market cycles.<\/p>\n

According to Martinez\u2019s analysis, every instance since 2015 in which BTC has lost the 100\u2011week SMA has followed a similar pattern. Rather than quickly reclaiming that level, the Bitcoin price has typically continued lower toward the 200\u2011week SMA.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Those transitions have consistently resulted in sharp corrections<\/a>, generally ranging between 45% and 58%, and have tended to play out over a period of roughly 30 to 50 days.<\/p>\n

Historical examples highlight this recurring behavior. In December 2014, Bitcoin fell about 55% after losing the 100\u2011week moving average, reaching the 200\u2011week level in approximately 35 days.\u00a0<\/p>\n

A similar pattern appeared in November 2018, when a weekly close below the 100\u2011week SMA was followed by a 45% decline that unfolded over roughly 28 days.\u00a0During the March 2020 COVID\u201119 drop, the move from the 100\u2011week to the 200\u2011week average <\/a>happened far more rapidly, with the Bitcoin price dropping 47% in one week.\u00a0<\/p>\n

More recently, in May 2022, a breakdown below the 100\u2011week SMA preceded a 58% sell\u2011off that took close to 49 days to fully materialize. Based on these precedents, Martinez argues that the latest weekly close below the 100\u2011week SMA increases the likelihood of another substantial correction.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

If historical patterns hold, he suggests the Bitcoin price could face a drawdown of nearly 50% toward the 200\u2011week MA. That would imply a potential downside range between roughly $56,000 and $50,000, a move that could occur by March or April, according to the analyst.<\/p>\n

What\u2019s Behind The Bitcoin Price Drop?<\/h2>\n

Beyond technical factors, institutional flows have also emerged as a key source of pressure. Analysts at Deutsche Bank noted <\/a>that the broader downturn has been exacerbated by large and sustained withdrawals from institutional investment vehicles.\u00a0<\/p>\n

According to their assessment, crypto\u2011focused exchange\u2011traded funds (ETFs) have experienced billions of dollars in outflows each month since the downturn that began in October 2025.\u00a0<\/p>\n

They added that US spot Bitcoin ETFs alone recorded outflows exceeding $3 billion in January, following withdrawals <\/a>of approximately $2 billion in December and $7 billion in November.<\/p>\n

In Deutsche Bank\u2019s view, the persistent selling reflects waning interest from traditional investors and a growing sense of pessimism toward the crypto asset class.\u00a0<\/p>\n

For now, the market is watching closely to see whether Bitcoin prices can stabilize in the short term or whether further losses lie ahead before any meaningful recovery can take shape later this year.<\/p>\n

Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Bitcoin price has extended its steep decline on Thursday, slipping below the $67,000 level and deepening a sell\u2011off that has been unfolding since October of last year.\u00a0 With the latest move, the market\u2019s leading crypto has now retraced close to 50% from the all\u2011time highs it reached during that period, intensifying concerns that the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-71219","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71219","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=71219"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/71219\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=71219"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=71219"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=71219"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}