{"id":77401,"date":"2026-03-23T20:18:09","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T20:18:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=77401"},"modified":"2026-03-23T20:18:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T20:18:09","slug":"this-is-why-bitcoin-is-a-better-risk-barometer-than-private-equity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=77401","title":{"rendered":"This Is Why Bitcoin Is a Better Risk Barometer Than Private Equity"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Analyst Jamie Coutts has said that Bitcoin\u2019s transparent ledger and real-time pricing could expose weaknesses in private equity markets.<\/p>\n

The comments, made on the back of a broader market stress and falling crypto prices, have raised questions on how risk is measured across asset classes.<\/p>\n

Linking BTC\u2019s Structure to the Opacity of Private Equity<\/h2>\n

In a series of posts on X, Coutts argued<\/a> that for years, private equity masked volatility by avoiding mark-to-market pricing, a practice he described as \u201cvolatility laundering.\u201d He also warned that losses in such portfolios may not become visible until conditions get worse.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cNo mark-to-market doesn\u2019t mean no losses,\u201d Coutts cautioned. \u201cIt means no discovery until it\u2019s too late. And it\u2019s getting late.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

The analyst mentioned several signs of strain on traditional markets, including a rise in the MOVE index, pressure on the U.S. dollar index, which is getting near the 100.50 level, and tightening credit conditions in sectors linked to private equity and AI.<\/p>\n

He also said there were bearish technical signals in equity markets, such as RSI divergences, where prices were climbing even as momentum grew weak.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s against this background that Coutts suggested that Bitcoin\u2019s recent resilience has been structural rather than driven by strong demand, citing a market reset in February when excess leverage was cleared alongside derivatives activity that reduced volatility through 2025.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cBitcoin grows in stature as the facade of the fiat fractional-reserve credit system limps from one crisis to the next,\u201d wrote the market watcher.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Still, he warned that if risk assets fall by 10% to 15%, BTC could go back to its February lows, with a potential bottom forming later in the second or third quarter of 2026.<\/p>\n

The crypto researcher also noted that although Bitcoin ETF inflows picked up in March, they may already be slowing down. Per data from SoSoValue, since March 18, daily net inflows for spot BTC ETFs have been negative, coming after seven straight days of inflows that amounted to just over $1.1 billion.<\/p>\n

Fragile Sentiment Across Crypto<\/h2>\n

Recent comments by U.S. President Donald Trump, where he threatened to \u201cobliterate\u201d Iran\u2019s power infrastructure, pushed<\/a> BTC below $68,000 for the first time since March 9.<\/p>\n

However, the asset has since recovered and was\u00a0trading above $71,000 at the time of writing, following the latest controversial\u00a0developments<\/a><\/span>. The current price represents a nearly 17% dip year-on-year and an almost 7% drop across 7 days, but is still a 3% uptick over two weeks.<\/p>\n

Market sentiment is rather weak, with the Fear and Greed Index currently at 8, signaling<\/a> \u201cextreme fear\u201d despite Bitcoin trading over 15% above its February lows near $60,000.<\/p>\n

But according to Coutts, BTC differs from private equity in this environment. While private markets rely on periodic valuations, the king cryptocurrency trades continuously with transactions that are publicly visible.<\/p>\n

He suggested that if traditional portfolios were forced to reprice, assets like Bitcoin that have transparent pricing may react faster, and when liquidity support returns, BTC will likely respond early, reflecting its greater sensitivity to changes in financial conditions.<\/p>\n

The post This Is Why Bitcoin Is a Better Risk Barometer Than Private Equity<\/a> appeared first on CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analyst Jamie Coutts has said that Bitcoin\u2019s transparent ledger and real-time pricing could expose weaknesses in private equity markets. The comments, made on the back of a broader market stress and falling crypto prices, have raised questions on how risk is measured across asset classes. Linking BTC\u2019s Structure to the Opacity of Private Equity In […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-77401","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77401","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=77401"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/77401\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=77401"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=77401"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=77401"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}