{"id":78078,"date":"2026-03-27T19:01:33","date_gmt":"2026-03-27T19:01:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=78078"},"modified":"2026-03-27T19:01:33","modified_gmt":"2026-03-27T19:01:33","slug":"raoul-pal-says-recessions-are-not-possible-anymore-as-prediction-markets-price-36-odds-of-one-this-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=78078","title":{"rendered":"Raoul Pal Says Recessions Are &#8216;Not Possible Anymore&#8217; As Prediction Markets Price 36% Odds Of One This Year"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><strong>Raoul Pal<\/strong>, the CEO of Real Vision and one of crypto\u2019s most prominent macro voices, said that he believes recessions are no longer structurally possible.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think recessions are possible anymore,\u201d Pal said on Forward Guidance. \u201cWe\u2019d have a huge slowdown, but they don\u2019t allow that to happen.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Prediction market bettors disagree. Polymarket\u2019s U.S. recession <a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/event\/us-recession-by-end-of-2026\">contract<\/a> is trading at 36% for a downturn by year-end, up from a low of 21% in January. Mounting concerns over private credit and the ongoing war in Iran have driven this steady climb.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Why Pal Says It Can\u2019t Happen<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>His <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=UweigmKvoLs\">argument <\/a>centers on what he calls the post-2008 playbook. Central banks discovered that injecting liquidity raises collateral values, and they will never allow that process to reverse. If the S&amp;P 500 falls by more than 25%, liquidity returns. The cost, &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/crypto\/cryptocurrency\/26\/03\/51520868\/raoul-pal-says-recessions-are-not-possible-anymore-as-prediction-markets-price-36-odds-of-o?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&amp;utm_medium=rss_feed_free&amp;utm_content=taxonomy_rss&amp;utm_campaign=channel\" alt=\"Raoul\" pal says recessions are possible anymore as prediction markets price odds of one this year>Full story available on Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Raoul Pal, the CEO of Real Vision and one of crypto\u2019s most prominent macro voices, said that he believes recessions are no longer structurally possible. \u201cI don\u2019t think recessions are possible anymore,\u201d Pal said on Forward Guidance. \u201cWe\u2019d have a huge slowdown, but they don\u2019t allow that to happen.\u201d Prediction market bettors disagree. Polymarket\u2019s U.S. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-78078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78078","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=78078"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/78078\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=78078"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=78078"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=78078"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}