{"id":79438,"date":"2026-04-06T15:01:32","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T15:01:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=79438"},"modified":"2026-04-06T15:01:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T15:01:32","slug":"1-month-of-war-a-new-safe-haven-is-born","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=79438","title":{"rendered":"1 Month of War &#8211; A New Safe Haven Is Born?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is it a good thing that bitcoin ISN\u2019T being held by nation-states?<\/h2>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A month in- where are we at?<\/h2>\n<p>As last week&#8217;s article more thoroughly laid out, we&#8217;re currently in the midst of the single-worst energy crisis of not only our lifetimes, but in world history [IEA]. That crisis is coming as the result of a full-blown regional war in the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p>Not knowing anything other than that, one would expect oil (given the fundamentals of the situation) would be expected to be in the $150 area and neutral reserve assets like gold should be strong, the stock market to be down massively and Bitcoin, not-yet widely adopted as a neutral reserve asset, would likely be quite weak given its high beta to stocks.<\/p>\n<p><strong>But that&#8217;s not what we&#8217;ve seen<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Gold, arguably what should be the\u00a0<em>strongest<\/em>, is actually the weakest. US Treasuries, the multi-decade safe haven, are also down (rates up).\u00a0<strong>Bitcoin, with its usual tendency to be high-beta and risk-on, is actually by far the best-performing asset since the start of the war.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/media.beehiiv.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80\/uploads\/asset\/file\/d5be92c7-21ce-4db6-85e7-b3d0b8d8342b\/Screenshot_2026-04-05_at_5.57.09_AM.png?t=1775393841\"><\/p>\n<p><small>Cross-asset performance since the war in the Middle East started.<\/small><\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Why? What does it mean?<\/h2>\n<p>Let&#8217;s start with gold, as it&#8217;s probably the most counter-intuitive in terms of performance, and the reason for its sell-off is still not widely understood-<\/p>\n<p>Remember that the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries are all\u00a0<em>huge<\/em>\u00a0surplus countries. Some current accounts in the GCC are a whopping 20% of GDP. By definition, this means they generally\u00a0<em>accumulate assets\u00a0<\/em>in the form of fx reserves.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/media.beehiiv.com\/cdn-cgi\/image\/fit=scale-down,format=auto,onerror=redirect,quality=80\/uploads\/asset\/file\/04154eea-584d-4ae2-88cb-6f290b640772\/Screenshot_2026-04-05_at_6.23.02_AM.png?t=1775395393\"><\/p>\n<p><small>A few of the GCC Current Accounts<\/small><\/p>\n<p>Another trait of the countries &#8230;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.benzinga.com\/Opinion\/26\/04\/51660435\/1-month-of-war-a-new-safe-haven-is-born?utm_source=benzinga_taxonomy&amp;utm_medium=rss_feed_free&amp;utm_content=taxonomy_rss&amp;utm_campaign=channel\" alt=\"1\" month of war a new safe haven is born>Full story available on Benzinga.com<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is it a good thing that bitcoin ISN\u2019T being held by nation-states? A month in- where are we at? As last week&#8217;s article more thoroughly laid out, we&#8217;re currently in the midst of the single-worst energy crisis of not only our lifetimes, but in world history [IEA]. That crisis is coming as the result of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-79438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=79438"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/79438\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=79438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=79438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=79438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}