{"id":86105,"date":"2026-04-25T14:48:21","date_gmt":"2026-04-25T14:48:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=86105"},"modified":"2026-04-25T14:48:21","modified_gmt":"2026-04-25T14:48:21","slug":"analyst-bitcoins-february-dip-to-60k-marked-cycle-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=86105","title":{"rendered":"Analyst: Bitcoin\u2019s February Dip to $60K Marked Cycle Low"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Popular crypto analyst Ash Crypto has said that Bitcoin\u2019s drop to around $60,000 in February 2026 was the bottom of the current market cycle, based on a pattern he says has played out precisely across the past two cycles.<\/p>\n<p>If he\u2019s right, the king cryptocurrency may already be in the early stages of a new leg higher.<\/p>\n<h2>The 23-Month Pattern Behind the Call<\/h2>\n<p>Ash Crypto\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/AshCrypto\/status\/2047263936878088229?s=20\">argument<\/a> is simple:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cEach cycle, BTC has made a new ATH,\u201d he wrote on X. \u201cAnd the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>To back his theory, he went back to January 2017 when BTC hit an all-time high. This was followed 23 months later by a cycle low in December 2018.<\/p>\n<p>The same thing happened in the cycle after that, the analyst said. BTC hit its peak in December 2020, and 23 months later, in November 2022, it bottomed.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThis cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024. If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in February 2026 (23 months),\u201d the analyst concluded.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>This was right around the time BTC touched the $60,000 level, then went back above $70,000.<\/p>\n<p>The timing alone would be easy to dismiss, but Ash Crypto added three technical signals that all fired during the low earlier in the year. The weekly RSI dropped to a four-year low. The sentiment index hit its worst reading on record. And Bitcoin retested the 2021 cycle high.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cAll these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin,\u201d he wrote, \u201cand maybe \u2018THIS TIME IT\u2019S NOT DIFFERENT.&#8217;\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>On-chain data from analyst Ali Martinez <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/alicharts\/status\/2047270725245931644?s=20\">tells<\/a> a similar story, at least partially. Bitcoin\u2019s Sharpe Ratio collapsed to -43 before recovering to around 20, suggesting that the market absorbed the worst of the selling.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the share of Bitcoin\u2019s realized market cap held by people who bought within the last month has fallen below 7%, which in past cycles has meant retail is largely gone and supply has settled into stronger hands.<\/p>\n<h2>Bears Aren\u2019t Convinced<\/h2>\n<p>Fellow analyst Ted Pillows is <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2047206566802165906?s=20\">seeing<\/a> things differently. According to him, a small bounce had happened, but he still expected new lows on the higher timeframe.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s often how it works,\u201d he wrote. \u201cTemporary strength pulls people in and ends up becoming exit liquidity.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Bitcoin was trading around $78,500 at the time of writing, and Ash Crypto sees two paths from here: a daily close above $80,000 that could push BTC to $86,000 to $90,000, or a rejection that pulls it back into the $68,000 to $74,000 range.<\/p>\n<p>Its latest bounce was <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-rockets-above-78k-after-news-from-the-middle-east-liquidations-approach-500-million\/\">helped<\/a> along by news of an extended US-Iran ceasefire, which lifted the broader market before fresh tension reports <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/bitcoin-btc-rejected-at-80k-this-meme-coin-keeps-pumping-market-watch\/\">stopped<\/a> the OG crypto just short of $80,000.<\/p>\n<p>On his part, Martinez has flagged $73,700 as the number to watch. Hold it, and the road to $96,000 stays open. Lose it and the bullish bottom call starts to look shaky, with $55,000 back in the conversation.<\/p>\n<p>The post <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/analyst-bitcoins-february-dip-to-60k-marked-cycle-low\/\">Analyst: Bitcoin\u2019s February Dip to $60K Marked Cycle Low<\/a> appeared first on <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptopotato.com\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">CryptoPotato<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Popular crypto analyst Ash Crypto has said that Bitcoin\u2019s drop to around $60,000 in February 2026 was the bottom of the current market cycle, based on a pattern he says has played out precisely across the past two cycles. If he\u2019s right, the king cryptocurrency may already be in the early stages of a new [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-86105","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86105","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=86105"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86105\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=86105"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=86105"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=86105"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}