{"id":94828,"date":"2026-05-22T20:33:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-22T20:33:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=94828"},"modified":"2026-05-22T20:33:03","modified_gmt":"2026-05-22T20:33:03","slug":"bitcoin-is-repeating-this-midterm-pattern-that-sends-price-tumbling-15-on-average","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=94828","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Is Repeating This Midterm Pattern That Sends Price Tumbling 15% On Average"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Crypto market analyst Merlijn the Trader has sounded the alarm about a recurring midterm pattern that has historically preceded major Bitcoin (BTC) price crashes. According to his analysis, this bearish signal has caused BTC\u2019s value to drop by 15% on average. With the pattern now appearing in the current cycle, the analyst suggests that a major <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/merlijntrader\/status\/2056759283543343511?s=46\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">price correction could be on the horizon<\/a> for Bitcoin.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Analyst Calls For Late-Year Bitcoin Price Bottom<\/h2>\n<p>In an X post on May 19, Merlijn the Trader <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/merlijntrader\/status\/2056759283543343511?s=46\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">warned<\/a> investors and traders that a Bitcoin bear crash could be imminent. He pointed to a key chart pattern that has appeared in every midterm year, from as early as 2018 through the current market cycle.<\/p>\n<p>According to the analyst, the pattern follows a distinct cyclical structure, where Bitcoin experiences a significant price decline in Q1 before recovering and rallying in Q2. Once this relief rally ends, a sharp crash occurs, marking <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-bottom-how-low-price\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">a late-year bottom<\/a> for the flagship cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n<p>The first time this mid-term year pattern was observed was in 2018. At the time, Bitcoin\u2019s price fell by a staggering 25% in January, before rallying by over 33% in Q2 around April. Once this brief recovery faded, the cryptocurrency plummeted again by 19% in May, before forming a final cycle low around December of that year.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-681676\" src=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Bitcoin-chart-from-Merlijn-The-Trader.jpg?w=512&amp;resize=512%2C321\" alt=\"Bitcoin \" width=\"512\" height=\"321\"><\/p>\n<p>The same trend was repeated during the 2022 cycle. Here, Bitcoin\u2019s price fell by 17% in Q1, then staged a more than 5% recovery in March, before recording a 16% decline in April and <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-pattern-from-2022-that-led-to-crash-to-20000-reappears\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">ultimately forming a cycle bottom<\/a> in November.<\/p>\n<p>Fast-forward to the current market cycle, Merlijn the Trader believes that Bitcoin\u2019s price action could be mirroring this historical mid-term pattern. He noted that BTC has already experienced a massive 23% price crash in Q1, followed by <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-rally-may-have-been-trap-what-demand-reveal\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">a relief rally<\/a> of over 14% from March to April 2026.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Now, the bullish momentum appears to be fading, with May bringing <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/why-is-the-bitcoin-price-dumping\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">more volatility and a decline in BTC price<\/a>. If history plays out as expected, Merlijn the Trader predicts that Bitcoin could form a midterm-year bottom between November and December this year. While he has not set a specific bearish target for his forecast, the analyst remains confident that a price crash could occur soon.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>BTC Forecasted To Crash As Low As $37,000<\/h2>\n<p>Other crypto analysts like Chiefy appear to maintain a similar <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/bitcoin-price-bottom-could-be-around-40000-data\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">bearish stance on Bitcoin<\/a>. In a recent X post, the expert also pointed to past trends and chart structures, noting that BTC is repeating a key pattern that has consistently destroyed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsbtc.com\/bitcoin-news\/bitcoin-sentiment-warning-social-media-fomo\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">bullish sentiment<\/a> across past market cycles.<\/p>\n<p>He <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/0xchiefy\/status\/2057553047685919161?s=46\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">described<\/a> this bearish signal as \u201cthe Head &amp; Shoulders breakdown,\u201d noting that the pattern has already been confirmed on the BTC chart. Because of its recent re-emergence, Chiefy believes the <a href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinist.com\/is-bitcoin-reset-complete-steadies-70k-as-markets\/amp\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener \">market is now entering a retest phase<\/a> and predicts a potential BTC price crash to $37,000. With Bitcoin currently trading above $77,000, a decline to this level would represent a more than 52% loss in value.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/x\/BHJ0Cn5r\/\" alt=\"Bitcoin\" width=\"2108\" height=\"1636\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crypto market analyst Merlijn the Trader has sounded the alarm about a recurring midterm pattern that has historically preceded major Bitcoin (BTC) price crashes. According to his analysis, this bearish signal has caused BTC\u2019s value to drop by 15% on average. With the pattern now appearing in the current cycle, the analyst suggests that a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-94828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=94828"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94828\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=94828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=94828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=94828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}