{"id":9716,"date":"2025-01-26T10:02:12","date_gmt":"2025-01-26T10:02:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=9716"},"modified":"2025-01-26T10:02:12","modified_gmt":"2025-01-26T10:02:12","slug":"stay-at-alert-bitcoin-bear-market-could-begin-in-90-days-heres-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/?p=9716","title":{"rendered":"Stay At Alert! Bitcoin Bear Market Could Begin In 90 Days \u2014 Here\u2019s Why"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Following such a historic run in the past two years, it was only a matter of time before the projections for a Bitcoin bear market took over crypto discussions. Several pundits and experts have shared when they think the digital asset market will reach its cycle top and probably witness a reversal.<\/p>\n

While the crowd is still fairly optimistic about the potential of various cryptocurrencies, the market moving in the opposite direction won\u2019t come as a surprise. A popular crypto trader on the social media platform has echoed a similar sentiment, providing a possible timing for the arrival of the crypto bear market.<\/p>\n

Why The Bear Market Could Begin In April<\/strong><\/h2>\n

In a Jan. 25 post on the X platform, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared<\/a> his \u201cunpopular opinion\u201d about the current Bitcoin bull cycle and its potential end. According to the pundit, the bear market could commence in approximately three months.<\/p>\n

The reasoning behind this projection is the historical price performance of Bitcoin across different halving cycles. The Bitcoin halving, an event that occurs approximately every four years, tightens Bitcoin\u2019s supply by slashing the mining reward by half.<\/p>\n

As seen in 2024 \u2014 the most recent halving year, the halving event has historically been a precursor to substantial price growth. However, post-halving rallies are typically followed by significant profit-taking, leading to market consolidation and a bear market<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

From a historical standpoint, approximately 276 days after the halving event have proven to be pivotal in the trajectory of the Bitcoin market. Specifically, the Bitcoin price experienced significant price growth after crossing the 276-day milestone in the 2012 -2016 halving cycle.<\/p>\n

However, the BTC market witnessed a shift in sentiment and a severe market downturn 367 days following halving \u2014 91 days after the 276-day milestone. If this historical pattern holds, investors could see the bear market commence sometime in late April.<\/p>\n

As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just beneath the $105,000 mark, reflecting no significant movement in the past day.<\/p>\n

Retail Interest On The Rise?<\/strong><\/h2>\n

While historical price data is an effective way of analyzing a cycle\u2019s trajectory, on-chain data is another method that sheds light on cyclical price movements.\u00a0 One such data is the retail interest in Bitcoin<\/a>, which measures the demand of small-scale investors in the premier cryptocurrency.<\/p>\n

Related Reading: MicroStrategy May Face Tax Issues Over $19 Billion Unrealized Bitcoin Gains: Report<\/a><\/p>\n

Typically, demand from retail investors is often correlated with the peak euphoria phase. \u201cLooking at past cycles, the last two major spikes in searches for \u201chow to buy crypto\u201d occurred when BTC was around $65,000 in May 2021 and $69,000 in November 2021\u2014right at the market top,\u201d Martinez said in a separate post on X.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

As shown in the chart above, the \u201cinterest over time\u201d indicator seems to be picking up again in 2025. This could be a signal of an impending top for the crypto market.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin\"<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Following such a historic run in the past two years, it was only a matter of time before the projections for a Bitcoin bear market took over crypto discussions. Several pundits and experts have shared when they think the digital asset market will reach its cycle top and probably witness a reversal. While the crowd […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3,4,5],"class_list":["post-9716","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","tag-doge","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9716","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9716"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9716\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9716"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9716"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dogewisperer.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9716"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}